Middlesbrough vs Watford: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Middlesbrough

W D D L W

8th place in England Championship

3-1

04/05/2024 07:30

Watford

D D L D W

15th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Watford on 04 May 2024 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Middlesbrough vs Watford preview before placing your bet.

Middlesbrough are currently 8th with 69 points after 46 matches.
Watford sit 15th with 56 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 52%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Middlesbrough and Watford have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2024-05-04

Middlesbrough vs Watford - Prediction & Odds

Middlesbrough

Watford

2024-05-04 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leicester City	97	46	31	4	11	89	41	48
02 Ipswich Town	96	46	28	12	6	92	57	35
03 Leeds United	90	46	27	9	10	81	43	38
04 Southampton	87	46	26	9	11	87	63	24
05 West Bromwich(WBA)	75	46	21	12	13	70	47	23
06 Norwich City	73	46	21	10	15	79	64	15
07 Hull City	70	46	19	13	14	68	60	8
08 Middlesbrough	69	46	20	9	17	71	62	9
09 Coventry City	64	46	17	13	16	70	59	11
10 Preston North End	63	46	18	9	19	56	67	-11
11 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	53	51	2
12 Cardiff City	62	46	19	5	22	53	70	-17
13 Millwall	59	46	16	11	19	45	55	-10
14 Swansea City	57	46	15	12	19	59	65	-6
15 Watford	56	46	13	17	16	61	61	0
16 Sunderland A.F.C	56	46	16	8	22	52	54	-2
17 Stoke City	56	46	15	11	20	49	60	-11
18 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	15	11	20	47	58	-11
19 Blackburn Rovers	53	46	14	11	21	60	74	-14
20 Sheffield Wednesday	53	46	15	8	23	44	68	-24
21 Plymouth Argyle	51	46	13	12	21	59	70	-11
22 Birmingham City	50	46	13	11	22	50	65	-15
23 Huddersfield Town	45	46	9	18	19	48	77	-29
24 Rotherham United	27	46	5	12	29	37	89	-52

Head To Head

30/09/2023 10:00

Watford

2 - 3

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

28/01/2023 11:00

Middlesbrough

2 - 0

Watford

ENG LCH

30/08/2022 15:00

Watford

2 - 1

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

05/04/2021 07:30

Middlesbrough

1 - 1

Watford

ENG LCH

11/09/2020 14:45

Watford

1 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

14/01/2017 11:00

Watford

0 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG PR

Middlesbrough

33%

Draw

33%

Watford

33%

Middlesbrough Last 6 matches

27/04/2024 10:00

Cardiff City 1 - 4 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

22/04/2024 15:00

Middlesbrough 3 - 4 Leeds United ENG LCH

13/04/2024 10:00

Ipswich Town 1 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

10/04/2024 15:00

Hull City 2 - 2 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

06/04/2024 10:00

Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Swansea City ENG LCH

01/04/2024 10:00

Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Watford

27/04/2024 10:00

Watford 1 - 0 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

20/04/2024 10:00

Watford 0 - 0 Hull City ENG LCH

13/04/2024 10:00

Southampton 3 - 2 Watford ENG LCH

10/04/2024 14:45

Ipswich Town 0 - 0 Watford ENG LCH

06/04/2024 10:00

Watford 0 - 0 Preston North End ENG LCH

01/04/2024 10:00

West Bromwich(WBA) 2 - 2 Watford ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

225

Avg. per game

1.41

Conceded

168

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored

212

Avg. per game

1.37

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 160 home matches

YesNo

117 (73%)43 (27%)

In last 160 home matches

NoYes

120 (77%)35 (23%)

Middlesbrough

Recent matches

Watford

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Middlesbrough

Watford

Shots

Middlesbrough

Total shots

13.36 avg / game

Blocked

604 total

Avg. 4.47

Watford

Total shots

13.05 avg / game

Blocked

441 total

Avg. 3.59

Middlesbrough Pass Watford

Total passes

67962

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

59835

Avg. 434 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Middlesbrough

160

Played games

Watford

155

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.35

6.19

990

Corners

825

5.32

20.38

3260

Throw-ins

2970

19.16

1.87

299

Offsides

238

1.54

2.04

326

GK saves

374

2.41

Middlesbrough

DISCIPLINARY

Watford

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.32

211

272

1.75

0.03

0.07

9.23

1476

Fouls

1673

10.79

12.66

2025

Tackles

2054

13.25

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Middlesbrough vs Watford Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Watford on 04 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Middlesbrough vs Watford Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Middlesbrough's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Watford's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Middlesbrough and Watford sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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