Middlesbrough vs Stoke City: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Middlesbrough

L L W L D

10th place in England Championship

2-0

28/09/2024 10:00

Stoke City

D W W L L

18th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Stoke City on 28 September 2024 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Middlesbrough vs Stoke City preview before placing your bet.

Middlesbrough are currently 10th with 64 points after 46 matches.
Stoke City sit 18th with 51 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors Stoke City, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Middlesbrough have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2024-09-28

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City - Prediction & Odds

Middlesbrough

Stoke City

2024-09-28 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

27/08/2024 14:15

Middlesbrough

0 - 5

Stoke City

ENG LC

02/03/2024 11:00

Stoke City

2 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

28/10/2023 10:00

Middlesbrough

0 - 2

Stoke City

ENG LCH

14/03/2023 16:00

Middlesbrough

1 - 1

Stoke City

ENG LCH

17/08/2022 14:45

Stoke City

2 - 2

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

30/04/2022 10:00

Middlesbrough

3 - 1

Stoke City

ENG LCH

Middlesbrough

17%

Draw

33%

Stoke City

50%

Middlesbrough Last 6 matches

21/09/2024 07:30

Sunderland A.F.C 1 - 0 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

14/09/2024 10:00

Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Preston North End ENG LCH

31/08/2024 07:30

Cardiff City 0 - 2 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

27/08/2024 14:15

Middlesbrough 0 - 5 Stoke City ENG LC

24/08/2024 10:00

Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Portsmouth ENG LCH

17/08/2024 07:30

Derby County 1 - 0 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Stoke City

20/09/2024 15:00

Stoke City 1 - 3 Hull City ENG LCH

17/09/2024 14:30

Stoke City 1 - 1 Fleetwood Town ENG LC

14/09/2024 07:30

Oxford United 1 - 0 Stoke City ENG LCH

31/08/2024 10:00

Plymouth Argyle 0 - 1 Stoke City ENG LCH

27/08/2024 14:15

Middlesbrough 0 - 5 Stoke City ENG LC

24/08/2024 10:00

Stoke City 1 - 2 West Bromwich(WBA) ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

251

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

207

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

164 (55%)136 (45%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

139 (46%)161 (54%)

Middlesbrough

Recent matches

Stoke City

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Middlesbrough

Stoke City

Shots

Middlesbrough

Total shots

13.04 avg / game

Blocked

1053 total

Avg. 4.26

Stoke City

Total shots

11.66 avg / game

Blocked

827 total

Avg. 3.47

Middlesbrough Pass Stoke City

Total passes

126851

Avg. 479 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

109400

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Middlesbrough

300

Played games

Stoke City

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.31

5.79

1737

Corners

1579

5.26

19.87

5962

Throw-ins

6157

20.52

1.77

532

Offsides

538

1.79

2.16

649

GK saves

696

2.32

Middlesbrough

DISCIPLINARY

Stoke City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

473

564

1.88

0.04

0.05

9.07

2721

Fouls

3136

10.45

12.74

3821

Tackles

3693

12.31

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Stoke City on 28 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Middlesbrough's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Stoke City's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Middlesbrough and Stoke City sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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