Middlesbrough vs Burnley Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – December 29

Middlesbrough

L L W L D

10th place in England Championship

0-0

29/12/2024 16:00

Burnley

D W W W W

2nd place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Burnley on December 29, 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Middlesbrough vs Burnley preview before placing for you.

Middlesbrough are currently 10th with 64 points after 46 matches.
Burnley sit 2nd with 100 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Burnley, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Middlesbrough have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-12-29

Middlesbrough vs Burnley - Prediction & Odds

Middlesbrough

Burnley

2024-12-29 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 29/12/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

06/12/2024 16:00

Burnley

1 - 1

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

07/04/2023 15:00

Middlesbrough

1 - 2

Burnley

ENG LCH

17/12/2022 11:00

Burnley

3 - 1

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

08/04/2017 10:00

Middlesbrough

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

26/12/2016 11:00

Burnley

1 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG PR

19/04/2016 14:45

Burnley

1 - 1

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

Middlesbrough

Draw

50%

Burnley

50%

Middlesbrough Last 6 matches

26/12/2024 11:00

Middlesbrough 3 - 3 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

21/12/2024 11:00

Plymouth Argyle 3 - 3 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

14/12/2024 11:00

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Millwall ENG LCH

10/12/2024 16:00

Leeds United 3 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

06/12/2024 16:00

Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

30/11/2024 08:30

Middlesbrough 3 - 1 Hull City ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Burnley

26/12/2024 11:00

Sheffield United 0 - 2 Burnley ENG LCH

21/12/2024 11:00

Burnley 2 - 1 Watford ENG LCH

15/12/2024 11:00

Norwich City 1 - 2 Burnley ENG LCH

10/12/2024 15:45

Burnley 0 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

06/12/2024 16:00

Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

30/11/2024 11:00

Stoke City 0 - 2 Burnley ENG LCH

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

118

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 160 home matches

YesNo

84 (53%)76 (48%)

In last 160 home matches

NoYes

67 (48%)74 (52%)

Middlesbrough

Recent matches

Burnley

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Middlesbrough

Burnley

Shots

Middlesbrough

Total shots

13.36 avg / game

Blocked

604 total

Avg. 4.47

Burnley

Total shots

12.97 avg / game

Blocked

416 total

Avg. 3.59

Middlesbrough Pass Burnley

Total passes

67962

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

60165

Avg. 466 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Middlesbrough

160

Played games

Burnley

141

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.30

6.19

990

Corners

772

5.48

20.38

3260

Throw-ins

2597

18.42

1.87

299

Offsides

259

1.84

2.04

326

GK saves

371

2.63

Middlesbrough

DISCIPLINARY

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.32

211

200

1.42

0.03

0.04

9.23

1476

Fouls

1357

9.62

12.66

2025

Tackles

1819

12.90

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Middlesbrough vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Burnley on 29 December 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Middlesbrough vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Middlesbrough's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Middlesbrough and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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