Metz vs Marseille: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Metz

L L D L L

18th place in France Ligue 1

0-3

04/10/2025 11:00

Marseille

W L D L W

5th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Metz vs Marseille on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Metz vs Marseille preview before placing your bet.

Metz are currently 18th with 17 points after 34 matches.
Marseille sit 5th with 59 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marseille to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history favors Marseille, who have won 1 of the last 6 meetings. Metz have no wins, while 5 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2025-10-04

Metz vs Marseille - Prediction & Odds

Metz

Marseille

2025-10-04 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	24	4	6	74	29	45
02 Lens	70	34	22	4	8	66	35	31
03 Lille	61	34	18	7	9	52	37	15
04 Lyon	60	34	18	6	10	53	40	13
05 Marseille	59	34	18	5	11	63	45	18
06 Rennes	59	34	17	8	9	59	50	9
07 Monaco	54	34	16	6	12	60	54	6
08 Strasbourg	53	34	15	8	11	58	47	11
09 Lorient	45	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3
10 Toulouse	44	33	12	8	13	47	46	1
11 Paris FC	44	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3
12 Stade Brestois	39	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12
13 Angers	36	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19
14 Le Havre	35	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12
15 AJ Auxerre	34	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10
16 Nice	32	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23
17 Nantes	23	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23
18 Metz	17	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44

Head To Head

09/02/2024 16:00

Marseille

1 - 1

Metz

FRA D1

18/08/2023 15:00

Metz

2 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

13/02/2022 15:45

Metz

1 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

07/11/2021 08:00

Marseille

0 - 0

Metz

FRA D1

23/05/2021 15:00

Metz

1 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

26/09/2020 15:00

Marseille

1 - 1

Metz

FRA D1

Metz

Draw

83%

Marseille

17%

Metz Last 6 matches

21/09/2025 11:15

Monaco 5 - 2 Metz FRA D1

14/09/2025 11:15

Metz 1 - 1 Angers FRA D1

31/08/2025 11:15

Paris FC 3 - 2 Metz FRA D1

23/08/2025 15:05

Lyon 3 - 0 Metz FRA D1

17/08/2025 11:15

Metz 0 - 1 Strasbourg FRA D1

09/08/2025 10:30

TSG Hoffenheim 8 - 0 Metz INT CF

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Marseille

26/09/2025 14:45

Strasbourg 1 - 2 Marseille FRA D1

22/09/2025 14:00

Marseille 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

16/09/2025 15:00

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Marseille UEFA CL

12/09/2025 14:45

Marseille 4 - 0 Lorient FRA D1

31/08/2025 14:45

Lyon 1 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

23/08/2025 11:00

Marseille 5 - 2 Paris FC FRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Metz

Marseille

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.06

Scored

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

7 (41%)10 (59%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

14 (82%)3 (18%)

Metz

Recent matches

Marseille

Under /Over

(65%)11 6(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(65%)11 6(35%)

/Yes

(47%)8 9(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)11 6(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Metz

Marseille

Shots

Metz

Total shots

11.65 avg / game

Blocked

54 total

Avg. 3.60

Marseille

Total shots

15.88 avg / game

Blocked

62 total

Avg. 4.13

Metz Pass Marseille

Total passes

7769

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

9368

Avg. 551 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Metz

Played games

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.29

4.94

Corners

5.59

16.76

285

Throw-ins

283

16.65

1.47

Offsides

1.12

2.76

GK saves

2.76

Metz

DISCIPLINARY

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.35

2.18

0.06

0.12

11.53

196

Fouls

220

12.94

11.53

196

Tackles

158

9.29

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

How We Build the Metz vs Marseille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Metz vs Marseille on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Metz vs Marseille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Metz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marseille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Metz and Marseille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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