Metz vs Lyon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 January

Metz
LLDLL
18th place in France Ligue 1
2
2-5
FT
25/01/2026 16:15
Lyon
WWWWL
4th place in France Ligue 1
France Ligue 1
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Metz vs Lyon on 25 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Metz vs Lyon preview before placing your bet.

  • Metz are currently 18th with 17 points after 34 matches.
  • Lyon sit 4th with 60 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Lyon to win with probability 55%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Lyon, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Metz have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
16:15

2026-01-25

Metz vs Lyon - Prediction & Odds

Metz
Metz
Lyon
Lyon
2026-01-25 16:15
21
24
55
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.63
FT
2-5 1-4
-
weather
-2℃～-1℃
STANDINGS UP TO 25/01/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
76 34 24 4 6 74 29 45
02 Lens Lens
70 34 22 4 8 66 35 31
03 Lille Lille
61 34 18 7 9 52 37 15
04 Lyon Lyon
60 34 18 6 10 53 40 13
05 Marseille Marseille
59 34 18 5 11 63 45 18
06 Rennes Rennes
59 34 17 8 9 59 50 9
07 Monaco Monaco
54 34 16 6 12 60 54 6
08 Strasbourg Strasbourg
53 34 15 8 11 58 47 11
09 Lorient Lorient
45 34 11 12 11 48 51 -3
10 Toulouse Toulouse
44 33 12 8 13 47 46 1
11 Paris FC Paris FC
44 34 11 11 12 47 50 -3
12 Stade Brestois Stade Brestois
39 34 10 9 15 43 55 -12
13 Angers Angers
36 34 9 9 16 29 48 -19
14 Le Havre Le Havre
35 34 7 14 13 32 44 -12
15 AJ Auxerre AJ Auxerre
34 34 8 10 16 34 44 -10
16 Nice Nice
32 34 7 11 16 37 60 -23
17 Nantes Nantes
23 33 5 8 20 29 52 -23
18 Metz Metz
17 34 3 8 23 32 76 -44
Head To Head
23/08/2025 19:05
Lyon Lyon
3 - 0
Metz Metz
FRA D1
23/02/2024 20:00
Metz Metz
1 - 2
Lyon Lyon
FRA D1
05/11/2023 12:00
Lyon Lyon
1 - 1
Metz Metz
FRA D1
07/01/2023 14:30
Lyon Lyon
2 - 1
Metz Metz
FRAC
08/05/2022 11:00
Metz Metz
3 - 2
Lyon Lyon
FRA D1
22/12/2021 20:00
Lyon Lyon
1 - 1
Metz Metz
FRA D1
Metz
1
17%
Draw
2
33%
Lyon
3
50%
Metz Metz Last 6 matches
18/01/2026 14:00
Strasbourg 2 - 1 Metz FRA D1
11/01/2026 17:00
Metz 0 - 4 Montpellier FRAC
04/01/2026 16:15
Lorient 1 - 1 Metz FRA D1
20/12/2025 14:30
Biesheim 0 - 3 Metz FRAC
13/12/2025 18:00
Metz 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1
07/12/2025 16:15
AJ Auxerre 3 - 1 Metz FRA D1
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Lyon Lyon
11/01/2026 20:00
Lille 1 - 2 Lyon FRAC
03/01/2026 16:00
Monaco 1 - 3 Lyon FRA D1
21/12/2025 20:00
Lyon 3 - 0 Saint Cyr Collonges FRAC
14/12/2025 14:00
Lyon 1 - 0 Le Havre FRA D1
11/12/2025 20:00
Lyon 2 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles UEFA EL
07/12/2025 19:45
Lorient 1 - 0 Lyon FRA D1
Win
83%
Draw
0%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Metz
Metz
17
 Lyon
Lyon
17
Goals
Scored
6
Avg. per game
0.35
Conceded
14
Avg. per game
0.82
Scored
13
Avg. per game
0.76
Conceded
8
Avg. per game
0.47
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 17 home matches
YesNo
5 (29%)12 (71%)
In last 17 home matches
NoYes
10 (59%)7 (41%)
Metz

Metz

Recent matches

Lyon

Lyon

Under /Over

(65%)11 6(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

/Yes

(47%)8 9(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)8 9(53%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Metz Metz
Lyon Lyon
Shots
Metz
Metz
Total shots
11.65 avg / game
Blocked
54 total
Avg. 3.60
Lyon
Lyon
Total shots
13.53 avg / game
Blocked
59 total
Avg. 3.69
Metz Metz Pass Lyon Lyon
Total passes
7769
Avg. 457 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
50%
Total passes
8237
Avg. 485 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
56%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Metz
Metz
1570
Avg. 92.35 / game
 Lyon
Lyon
1681
Avg. 98.88 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Metz
Metz
749
Avg. 44.06 / game
 Lyon
Lyon
846
Avg. 49.76 / game
OTHERS
Metz
Metz
17
Played games
Lyon
Lyon
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.24
4
Clean sheets
8
0.47
4.94
84
Corners
111
6.53
16.76
285
Throw-ins
294
17.29
1.47
25
Offsides
19
1.12
2.76
47
GK saves
44
2.59
Metz
Metz
DISCIPLINARY
Lyon
Lyon
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.35
23
Yellow card
26
1.53
0.06
1
Red card
2
0.12
11.53
196
Fouls
226
13.29
11.53
196
Tackles
151
8.88
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How We Build the Metz vs Lyon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Metz vs Lyon on 25 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Metz vs Lyon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Metz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lyon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Metz and Lyon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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