Metz vs Lille: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 April

Metz
WWLLL
16th place in France Ligue 1
2
1-2
FT
28/04/2024 11:00
Lille
WLWLW
4th place in France Ligue 1
France Ligue 1
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Metz vs Lille on 28 April 2024 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Metz vs Lille preview before placing your bet.

  • Metz are currently 16th with 29 points after 34 matches.
  • Lille sit 4th with 59 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Lille to win with probability 53%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Lille, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Metz have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
11:00

2024-04-28

Metz vs Lille - Prediction & Odds

Metz
Metz
Lille
Lille
2024-04-28 11:00
22
25
53
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
1.70
FT
1-2 1-2
-
weather
15℃～16℃
STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2024
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
76 34 22 10 2 81 33 48
02 Monaco Monaco
67 34 20 7 7 68 42 26
03 Stade Brestois Stade Brestois
61 34 17 10 7 53 34 19
04 Lille Lille
59 34 16 11 7 52 34 18
05 Nice Nice
55 34 15 10 9 40 29 11
06 Lyon Lyon
53 34 16 5 13 49 55 -6
07 Lens Lens
51 34 14 9 11 45 37 8
08 Marseille Marseille
50 34 13 11 10 52 41 11
09 Reims Reims
47 34 13 8 13 42 47 -5
10 Rennes Rennes
46 34 12 10 12 53 46 7
11 Toulouse Toulouse
43 34 11 10 13 42 46 -4
12 Montpellier Montpellier
41 34 10 12 12 43 48 -5
13 Strasbourg Strasbourg
39 34 10 9 15 38 50 -12
14 Nantes Nantes
33 34 9 6 19 30 55 -25
15 Le Havre Le Havre
32 34 7 11 16 34 45 -11
16 Metz Metz
29 34 8 5 21 35 58 -23
17 Lorient Lorient
29 34 7 8 19 43 66 -23
18 Clermont Clermont
25 34 5 10 19 26 60 -34
Head To Head
03/12/2023 16:05
Lille Lille
2 - 0
Metz Metz
FRA D1
18/02/2022 20:00
Lille Lille
0 - 0
Metz Metz
FRA D1
08/08/2021 15:00
Metz Metz
3 - 3
Lille Lille
FRA D1
09/04/2021 19:00
Metz Metz
0 - 2
Lille Lille
FRA D1
13/09/2020 11:00
Lille Lille
1 - 0
Metz Metz
FRA D1
09/11/2019 19:00
Lille Lille
0 - 0
Metz Metz
FRA D1
Metz
0
0%
Draw
3
50%
Lille
3
50%
Metz Metz Last 6 matches
21/04/2024 13:00
Le Havre 0 - 1 Metz FRA D1
12/04/2024 19:00
Metz 2 - 1 Lens FRA D1
07/04/2024 11:00
Stade Brestois 4 - 3 Metz FRA D1
30/03/2024 15:59
Metz 2 - 5 Monaco FRA D1
17/03/2024 14:00
Reims 2 - 1 Metz FRA D1
10/03/2024 14:00
Metz 1 - 0 Clermont FRA D1
Win
50%
Draw
0%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Lille Lille
24/04/2024 19:00
Monaco 1 - 0 Lille FRA D1
21/04/2024 13:00
Lille 1 - 0 Strasbourg FRA D1
18/04/2024 16:45
Lille 2 - 1 Aston Villa UEFA ECL
11/04/2024 19:00
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Lille UEFA ECL
05/04/2024 19:00
Lille 3 - 1 Marseille FRA D1
29/03/2024 20:00
Lille 2 - 1 Lens FRA D1
Win
67%
Draw
0%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Metz
Metz
283
 Lille
Lille
300
Goals
Scored
223
Avg. per game
0.79
Conceded
219
Avg. per game
0.77
Scored
252
Avg. per game
0.84
Conceded
166
Avg. per game
0.55
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 283 matches
YesNo
146 (52%)137 (48%)
In last 283 matches
NoYes
162 (54%)138 (46%)
Metz

Metz

Recent matches

Lille

Lille

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Metz Metz
Lille Lille
Shots
Metz
Metz
Total shots
10.70 avg / game
Blocked
520 total
Avg. 2.94
Lille
Lille
Total shots
12.75 avg / game
Blocked
814 total
Avg. 3.46
Metz Metz Pass Lille Lille
Total passes
91881
Avg. 420 / game
Accurate
80%
Ball possession
47%
Total passes
132746
Avg. 513 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
55%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Metz
Metz
23098
Avg. 81.62 / game
 Lille
Lille
31527
Avg. 105.09 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Metz
Metz
10818
Avg. 38.23 / game
 Lille
Lille
14838
Avg. 49.46 / game
OTHERS
Metz
Metz
283
Played games
Lille
Lille
300
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.29
82
Clean sheets
108
0.36
3.75
1062
Corners
1460
4.87
12.81
3624
Throw-ins
4718
15.73
0.95
268
Offsides
455
1.52
2.43
689
GK saves
693
2.31
Metz
Metz
DISCIPLINARY
Lille
Lille
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.50
424
Yellow card
602
2.01
0.10
29
Red card
23
0.08
9.81
2776
Fouls
3164
10.55
11.03
3122
Tackles
3935
13.12
NEXT MATCHES
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VS
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INT
08/08
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VS
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FRA
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VS
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FRA
08/21
Metz Metz
VS
Stade Lavallois MFC Stade Lavallois MFC
FRA
08/28
FC Annecy FC Annecy
VS
Metz Metz
FRA
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Oud-Heverlee Leuven
VS
Lille Lille
INT
08/23
Angers Angers
VS
Lille Lille
FRA
08/28
Lille Lille
VS
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA
09/05
Toulouse Toulouse
VS
Lille Lille
FRA
09/12
Lille Lille
VS
Troyes Troyes
FRA

How We Build the Metz vs Lille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Metz vs Lille on 28 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Metz vs Lille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Metz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Metz and Lille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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