Metz vs Lille Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 28

Metz

W W L L L

16th place in France Ligue 1

1-2

28/04/2024 07:00

Lille

W L W L W

4th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Metz vs Lille on April 28, 2024 (kick-off: 07:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Metz vs Lille preview before placing for you.

Metz are currently 16th with 29 points after 34 matches.
Lille sit 4th with 59 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Lille to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Lille, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Metz have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:00

2024-04-28

Metz vs Lille - Prediction & Odds

Metz

Lille

2024-04-28 07:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	22	10	2	81	33	48
02 Monaco	67	34	20	7	7	68	42	26
03 Stade Brestois	61	34	17	10	7	53	34	19
04 Lille	59	34	16	11	7	52	34	18
05 Nice	55	34	15	10	9	40	29	11
06 Lyon	53	34	16	5	13	49	55	-6
07 Lens	51	34	14	9	11	45	37	8
08 Marseille	50	34	13	11	10	52	41	11
09 Reims	47	34	13	8	13	42	47	-5
10 Rennes	46	34	12	10	12	53	46	7
11 Toulouse	43	34	11	10	13	42	46	-4
12 Montpellier	41	34	10	12	12	43	48	-5
13 Strasbourg	39	34	10	9	15	38	50	-12
14 Nantes	33	34	9	6	19	30	55	-25
15 Le Havre	32	34	7	11	16	34	45	-11
16 Metz	29	34	8	5	21	35	58	-23
17 Lorient	29	34	7	8	19	43	66	-23
18 Clermont	25	34	5	10	19	26	60	-34

Head To Head

03/12/2023 12:05

Lille

2 - 0

Metz

FRA D1

18/02/2022 16:00

Lille

0 - 0

Metz

FRA D1

08/08/2021 11:00

Metz

3 - 3

Lille

FRA D1

09/04/2021 15:00

Metz

0 - 2

Lille

FRA D1

13/09/2020 07:00

Lille

1 - 0

Metz

FRA D1

09/11/2019 15:00

Lille

0 - 0

Metz

FRA D1

Metz

Draw

50%

Lille

50%

Metz Last 6 matches

21/04/2024 09:00

Le Havre 0 - 1 Metz FRA D1

12/04/2024 15:00

Metz 2 - 1 Lens FRA D1

07/04/2024 07:00

Stade Brestois 4 - 3 Metz FRA D1

30/03/2024 11:59

Metz 2 - 5 Monaco FRA D1

17/03/2024 10:00

Reims 2 - 1 Metz FRA D1

10/03/2024 10:00

Metz 1 - 0 Clermont FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lille

24/04/2024 15:00

Monaco 1 - 0 Lille FRA D1

21/04/2024 09:00

Lille 1 - 0 Strasbourg FRA D1

18/04/2024 12:45

Lille 2 - 1 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

11/04/2024 15:00

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Lille UEFA ECL

05/04/2024 15:00

Lille 3 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

29/03/2024 16:00

Lille 2 - 1 Lens FRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

174

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

176

Avg. per game

0.62

Scored

222

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

147

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 284 matches

YesNo

129 (45%)155 (55%)

In last 284 matches

NoYes

159 (53%)141 (47%)

Metz

Recent matches

Lille

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Metz

Lille

Shots

Metz

Total shots

10.70 avg / game

Blocked

520 total

Avg. 2.94

Lille

Total shots

12.80 avg / game

Blocked

814 total

Avg. 3.48

Metz Pass Lille

Total passes

91881

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

132261

Avg. 513 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Metz

284

Played games

Lille

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

107

0.36

3.74

1062

Corners

1463

4.88

12.76

3624

Throw-ins

4717

15.72

0.94

268

Offsides

455

1.52

2.43

689

GK saves

692

2.31

Metz

DISCIPLINARY

Lille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.49

424

606

2.02

0.10

0.08

9.77

2776

Fouls

3156

10.52

10.99

3122

Tackles

3920

13.07

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Metz vs Lille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Metz vs Lille on 28 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Metz vs Lille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Metz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Metz and Lille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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