Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 November

Merida AD

W L L L D

10th place in Group A

3-0

09/11/2025 04:00

Real Madrid Castilla

D W W L D

5th place in Group A

Spain Primera Division RFEF

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla on 09 November 2025 (kick-off: 04:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla preview before placing your bet.

Merida AD are currently 10th with 52 points after 38 matches.
Real Madrid Castilla sit 5th with 58 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Merida AD to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid Castilla, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Merida AD have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

04:00

2025-11-09

Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla - Prediction & Odds

Merida AD

Real Madrid Castilla

2025-11-09 04:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/11/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tenerife	76	38	22	10	6	62	24	38
02 Celta vigo b	65	38	18	11	9	61	48	13
03 Zamora CF	61	38	17	10	11	53	42	11
04 Ponferradina	60	38	17	9	12	43	33	10
05 Real Madrid Castilla	58	38	16	10	12	61	52	9
06 Pontevedra	58	38	14	16	8	49	31	18
07 Barakaldo CF	58	38	15	13	10	51	38	13
08 Unionistas de Salamanca	56	38	15	11	12	53	49	4
09 CD Lugo	53	38	13	14	11	36	40	-4
10 Merida AD	52	38	14	10	14	47	53	-6
11 Arenas Club de Getxo	52	38	15	7	16	46	55	-9
12 Racing de Ferrol	49	38	13	10	15	41	47	-6
13 Athletic Bilbao B	49	38	13	10	15	38	46	-8
14 Real Aviles	44	38	11	11	16	55	67	-12
15 Cacereno	44	38	10	14	14	42	49	-7
16 CF Talavera de la Reina	43	38	11	10	17	38	47	-9
17 Ourense CF	43	38	10	13	15	44	47	-3
18 CD Guadalajara	41	38	10	11	17	44	58	-14
19 Osasuna B	40	38	10	10	18	28	42	-14
20 CD Arenteiro	28	38	6	10	22	29	53	-24

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Eldense	69	38	19	12	7	57	39	18
02 Sabadell	68	38	18	14	6	53	27	26
03 Atletico de Madrid B	67	38	19	10	9	64	44	20
04 Villarreal B	63	38	16	15	7	54	32	22
05 CE Europa	60	38	16	12	10	55	50	5
06 FC Cartagena	57	38	15	12	11	37	38	-1
07 Antequera CF	56	38	16	8	14	47	44	3
08 Algeciras	55	38	15	10	13	40	41	-1
09 Hercules	54	38	14	12	12	43	41	2
10 Real Murcia	52	38	14	10	14	43	40	3
11 AD Alcorcon	51	38	12	15	11	44	38	6
12 Ibiza Eivissa	50	38	13	11	14	44	38	6
13 Teruel	49	38	12	13	13	27	33	-6
14 Gimnastic Tarragona	47	38	13	8	17	40	49	-9
15 Juventud Torremolinos CF	46	38	11	13	14	45	51	-6
16 Real Betis B	45	38	12	9	17	48	59	-11
17 SD Tarazona	45	38	11	12	15	31	40	-9
18 UD Marbella	34	38	9	7	22	36	55	-19
19 Atletico Sanluqueno	31	38	7	10	21	27	53	-26
20 Sevilla Atletico	28	38	5	13	20	21	44	-23

Head To Head

10/05/2025 07:00

Merida AD

0 - 0

Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

30/11/2024 13:30

Real Madrid Castilla

6 - 0

Merida AD

SPA D3

11/02/2024 12:00

Real Madrid Castilla

0 - 1

Merida AD

SPA D3

23/09/2023 08:59

Merida AD

0 - 1

Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

19/03/2023 04:00

Real Madrid Castilla

0 - 0

Merida AD

SPA D3

15/10/2022 10:00

Merida AD

1 - 1

Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

Merida AD

17%

Draw

50%

Real Madrid Castilla

33%

Merida AD Last 6 matches

01/11/2025 08:00

CD Guadalajara 0 - 2 Merida AD SPA D3

29/10/2025 12:00

CD Artistico Navalcarnero 2 - 1 Merida AD SPA CUP

24/10/2025 10:00

Merida AD 0 - 0 Ponferradina SPA D3

18/10/2025 07:00

Merida AD 3 - 1 CD Arenteiro SPA D3

11/10/2025 09:00

Unionistas de Salamanca 2 - 0 Merida AD SPA D3

05/10/2025 03:00

Merida AD 3 - 0 Arenas Club de Getxo SPA D3

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Real Madrid Castilla

02/11/2025 10:15

Real Madrid Castilla 1 - 0 CF Talavera de la Reina SPA D3

25/10/2025 12:00

Real Madrid Castilla 2 - 0 Real Aviles SPA D3

19/10/2025 03:00

Ourense CF 1 - 3 Real Madrid Castilla SPA D3

12/10/2025 03:00

Real Madrid Castilla 1 - 0 Pontevedra SPA D3

05/10/2025 09:15

Ponferradina 2 - 3 Real Madrid Castilla SPA D3

27/09/2025 09:30

Real Madrid Castilla 1 - 3 Tenerife SPA D3

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spain Primera Division...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

160

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

140

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

209

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

153

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 247 matches

YesNo

118 (48%)129 (52%)

In last 247 matches

NoYes

134 (53%)119 (47%)

Merida AD

Recent matches

Real Madrid Castilla

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Merida AD

Real Madrid Castilla

Shots

Merida AD

Total shots

10.31 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Real Madrid Castilla

Total shots

10.86 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Merida AD Pass Real Madrid Castilla

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Merida AD

247

Played games

Real Madrid Castilla

253

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.29

4.17

1029

Corners

1224

4.84

0.00

Throw-ins

0.17

0.06

Offsides

0.04

0.02

GK saves

0.03

Merida AD

DISCIPLINARY

Real Madrid Castilla

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.57

634

527

2.08

0.14

0.13

0.22

Fouls

0.20

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Deportivo La Coruna B

NEXT MATCHES

Juventud Torremolinos CF

How We Build the Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla on 09 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spain Primera Division RFEF fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Merida AD's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid Castilla's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spain Primera Division RFEF Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spain Primera Division RFEF standings and the Spain Primera Division RFEF form table to understand exactly where Merida AD and Real Madrid Castilla sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spain Primera Division RFEF predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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