Merelbeke vs Tienen Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 04

Merelbeke

L W W W L

11th place in VV

2-1

04/10/2025 13:30

Tienen

D W W L L

9th place in VV

Belgian First Amateur Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Merelbeke vs Tienen on October 04, 2025 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Merelbeke vs Tienen preview before placing for you.

Merelbeke are currently 11th with 36 points after 30 matches.
Tienen sit 9th with 38 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Merelbeke to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Tienen, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. Merelbeke have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:30

2025-10-04

Merelbeke vs Tienen - Prediction & Odds

Merelbeke

Tienen

2025-10-04 13:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

ACFF	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tubize	47	22	14	5	3	49	20	29
02 Excelsior Virton	47	22	14	5	3	61	35	26
03 RAEC Mons	44	22	13	5	4	42	17	25
04 RFC Meux	36	22	10	6	6	38	28	10
05 Habay la Neuve	36	22	10	6	6	38	35	3
06 Rochefort	31	22	9	4	9	33	40	-7
07 Charleroi B	30	22	9	3	10	36	38	-2
08 Stockay-Warfusee	26	22	7	5	10	22	35	-13
09 St. Gilloise B	24	22	7	3	12	36	45	-9
10 Union Royale Namur	16	22	4	4	14	30	50	-20
11 Schaerbeek Evere	16	22	4	4	14	24	44	-20
12 Standard Liege II	15	22	3	6	13	25	47	-22

VV	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Hasselt	62	30	19	5	6	76	28	48
02 Royal Knokke	61	30	19	4	7	56	44	12
03 Roeselare Daisel	54	30	15	9	6	52	33	19
04 Belisia Bilzen	52	30	15	7	8	62	43	19
05 Hoogstraten VV	51	30	14	9	7	54	42	12
06 Thes Sport	50	30	14	8	8	44	34	10
07 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	43	30	12	7	11	45	44	1
08 Dessel Sport	39	30	11	6	13	61	65	-4
09 Tienen	38	30	11	5	14	38	46	-8
10 Cercle Brugge II	38	30	10	8	12	41	53	-12
11 Merelbeke	36	30	11	3	16	42	49	-7
12 Zelzate	36	30	10	6	14	52	61	-9
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven B	33	30	10	3	17	56	64	-8
14 KFC Houtvenne	31	30	8	7	15	40	53	-13
15 Diegem Sport	28	30	7	7	16	52	69	-17
16 Ninove	19	30	5	4	21	40	83	-43

ACFF Promotion	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Excelsior Virton	45	10	7	0	3	18	13	5
02 RAEC Mons	43	10	6	3	1	19	8	11
03 Tubize	40	10	4	4	2	13	11	2
04 RFC Meux	31	10	4	1	5	15	16	-1
05 Habay la Neuve	28	10	3	1	6	9	15	-6
06 Rochefort	20	10	1	1	8	12	23	-11

ACFF Relegation Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 St. Gilloise B	32	10	6	2	2	18	8	10
02 Charleroi B	31	10	5	1	4	13	13	0
03 Standard Liege II	26	10	5	3	2	14	9	5
04 Stockay-Warfusee	23	10	3	1	6	16	18	-2
05 Schaerbeek Evere	20	10	3	3	4	15	19	-4
06 Union Royale Namur	16	10	2	2	6	14	23	-9

Head To Head

27/04/2025 09:00

Merelbeke

0 - 0

Tienen

BEL FAD

20/10/2024 09:00

Tienen

2 - 0

Merelbeke

BEL FAD

Merelbeke

Draw

50%

Tienen

50%

Merelbeke Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 13:30

Merelbeke 2 - 1 Leuven B BEL FAD

21/09/2025 09:00

Roeselare Daisel 1 - 0 Merelbeke BEL FAD

14/09/2025 09:00

Merelbeke 1 - 1 Ninove BEL FAD

07/09/2025 10:00

Merelbeke 0 - 2 Lierse BEL Cup

30/08/2025 14:00

Merelbeke 0 - 1 Belisia Bilzen BEL FAD

09/08/2025 08:30

Merelbeke 1 - 2 HSV Hoek INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Tienen

20/09/2025 13:30

Dessel Sport 1 - 1 Tienen BEL FAD

14/09/2025 09:00

Tienen 0 - 3 Roeselare Daisel BEL FAD

07/09/2025 09:00

Tienen 2 - 3 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar BEL FAD

31/08/2025 09:00

Tienen 0 - 2 Hasselt BEL FAD

21/08/2025 14:00

Tienen 2 - 2 Union Royale Namur INT CF

13/08/2025 13:30

Tienen 2 - 1 KSK Heist INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Belgian First Amateur...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Merelbeke

Tienen

188

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.01

Scored

138

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

154

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 95 matches

YesNo

48 (51%)47 (49%)

In last 95 matches

NoYes

96 (51%)92 (49%)

Merelbeke

Recent matches

Tienen

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Merelbeke

Tienen

Shots

Merelbeke

Total shots

12.10 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tienen

Total shots

8.92 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Merelbeke Pass Tienen

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Merelbeke

Played games

Tienen

188

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.16

Clean sheets

0.28

4.11

390

Corners

641

3.41

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.46

Offsides

0.24

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Merelbeke

DISCIPLINARY

Tienen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.31

124

259

1.38

0.03

0.07

1.88

179

Fouls

157

0.84

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Merelbeke vs Tienen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Merelbeke vs Tienen on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Belgian First Amateur Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Merelbeke vs Tienen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Merelbeke's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Tienen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Belgian First Amateur Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Belgian First Amateur Division standings and the Belgian First Amateur Division form table to understand exactly where Merelbeke and Tienen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Belgian First Amateur Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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