Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Melbourne Victory

W W L D D

4th place in Australia A-League

1-1

14/02/2026 02:00

Brisbane Roar

D L D D L

11th place in Australia A-League

Australia A-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar on 14 February 2026 (kick-off: 02:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar preview before placing your bet.

Melbourne Victory are currently 4th with 40 points after 26 matches.
Brisbane Roar sit 11th with 26 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Melbourne Victory to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors Brisbane Roar, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Melbourne Victory have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

02:00

2026-02-14

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar - Prediction & Odds

Melbourne Victory

Brisbane Roar

2026-02-14 02:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Newcastle Jets	48	26	15	3	8	55	39	16
02 Adelaide United	43	26	12	7	7	46	36	10
03 Auckland FC	42	26	11	9	6	42	29	13
04 Melbourne Victory	40	26	11	7	8	44	33	11
05 Sydney FC	39	26	11	6	9	33	25	8
06 Melbourne City	38	26	10	8	8	33	33	0
07 FC Macarthur	34	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7
08 Wellington Phoenix	33	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12
09 Central Coast Mariners	32	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7
10 Perth Glory	31	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7
11 Brisbane Roar	26	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9
12 Western Sydney	21	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16

Head To Head

28/11/2025 04:35

Brisbane Roar

1 - 0

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

01/03/2025 02:00

Brisbane Roar

1 - 1

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

09/11/2024 02:00

Melbourne Victory

2 - 0

Brisbane Roar

AUS D1

20/04/2024 03:30

Melbourne Victory

0 - 0

Brisbane Roar

AUS D1

03/03/2024 02:00

Brisbane Roar

3 - 2

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

29/04/2023 05:45

Melbourne Victory

0 - 1

Brisbane Roar

AUS D1

Melbourne Victory

17%

Draw

33%

Brisbane Roar

50%

Melbourne Victory Last 6 matches

06/02/2026 02:00

Wellington Phoenix 2 - 3 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

01/02/2026 02:00

Central Coast Mariners 1 - 0 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

26/01/2026 02:40

Melbourne Victory 4 - 0 Sydney FC AUS D1

17/01/2026 04:35

Adelaide United 2 - 1 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

10/01/2026 02:00

Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 Western Sydney AUS D1

02/01/2026 04:35

Melbourne Victory 3 - 2 Perth Glory AUS D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Brisbane Roar

07/02/2026 02:00

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast Mariners AUS D1

31/01/2026 02:00

Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

24/01/2026 02:00

Brisbane Roar 2 - 3 Adelaide United AUS D1

16/01/2026 06:45

Perth Glory 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

09/01/2026 04:35

Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Auckland FC AUS D1

06/01/2026 04:00

Melbourne City 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia A-League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

166

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

160

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored

155

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 198 matches

YesNo

115 (58%)83 (42%)

In last 198 matches

NoYes

103 (54%)88 (46%)

Melbourne Victory

Recent matches

Brisbane Roar

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Melbourne Victory

Brisbane Roar

Shots

Melbourne Victory

Total shots

13.92 avg / game

Blocked

479 total

Avg. 4.32

Brisbane Roar

Total shots

13.24 avg / game

Blocked

447 total

Avg. 4.10

Melbourne Victory Pass Brisbane Roar

Total passes

70326

Avg. 460 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

63326

Avg. 459 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Melbourne Victory

198

Played games

Brisbane Roar

191

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.22

5.57

1102

Corners

1024

5.36

9.04

1789

Throw-ins

1495

7.83

1.23

244

Offsides

328

1.72

2.56

506

GK saves

511

2.68

Melbourne Victory

DISCIPLINARY

Brisbane Roar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.77

351

351

1.84

0.11

0.09

10.39

2057

Fouls

1889

9.89

10.93

2164

Tackles

1873

9.81

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia A-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Melbourne Victory's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brisbane Roar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia A-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia A-League standings and the Australia A-League form table to understand exactly where Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia A-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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