Matera vs Paganese: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Matera

D W L L W

No standing data

1-0

21/01/2024 09:30

Paganese

D W W D W

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Matera vs Paganese on 21 January 2024 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Matera vs Paganese preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Matera to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Paganese, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Matera have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2024-01-21

Matera vs Paganese - Prediction & Odds

Matera

Paganese

2024-01-21 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Matera and Paganese in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

24/09/2023 09:00

Paganese

4 - 1

Matera

ITA S4

13/04/2019 08:30

Matera

0 - 3

Paganese

ITA C1

12/12/2018 11:30

Paganese

2 - 2

Matera

ITA C1

11/02/2018 09:30

Paganese

1 - 0

Matera

ITA C1

29/09/2017 14:45

Matera

2 - 1

Paganese

ITA C1

29/12/2016 11:30

Paganese

1 - 1

Matera

ITA C1

Matera

17%

Draw

33%

Paganese

50%

Matera Last 6 matches

14/01/2024 09:30

SS Angri 1 - 1 Matera ITA S4

07/01/2024 09:30

Matera 1 - 0 Citta di Fasano ITA S4

20/12/2023 09:30

Matera 0 - 1 Team Altamura ITA S4

17/12/2023 10:30

ASD Martina Franca 2 - 0 Matera ITA S4

10/12/2023 09:30

Matera 3 - 1 Casarano ITA S4

03/12/2023 11:00

A.S Andria Bat 1 - 2 Matera ITA S4

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Paganese

14/01/2024 09:30

Paganese 1 - 1 Nardo ITA S4

07/01/2024 10:00

Barletta 0 - 1 Paganese ITA S4

20/12/2023 09:30

Paganese 2 - 1 Citta di Fasano ITA S4

16/12/2023 09:30

Santa Maria 0 - 0 Paganese ITA S4

10/12/2023 09:30

Paganese 2 - 0 SS Angri ITA S4

03/12/2023 10:00

Team Altamura 1 - 1 Paganese ITA S4

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored

122

Avg. per game

0.54

Conceded

140

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 104 matches

YesNo

58 (56%)46 (44%)

In last 104 matches

NoYes

91 (41%)133 (59%)

Matera

Recent matches

Paganese

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Matera

Paganese

Shots

Matera

Total shots

9.55 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Paganese

Total shots

9.42 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Matera Pass Paganese

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Matera

104

Played games

Paganese

224

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.34

3.32

345

Corners

649

2.90

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.12

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Matera

DISCIPLINARY

Paganese

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.67

174

395

1.76

0.10

0.10

0.00

Fouls

0.44

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Matera vs Paganese Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Matera vs Paganese on 21 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Matera vs Paganese Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Matera's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Paganese's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Matera and Paganese sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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