Marseille vs Toulouse: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Marseille

No standing data

2-2

Marseille
Win Probability 57%

04/03/2026 16:00

Toulouse

No standing data

French Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Toulouse on 04 March 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Toulouse preview before placing your bet.

Marseille will face Toulouse in French Cup on March 4, 2026 at 16:00.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.55.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-03-04

Marseille vs Toulouse - Prediction & Odds

Marseille

Toulouse

2026-03-04 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Marseille and Toulouse in the French Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

29/11/2025 16:05

Marseille

2 - 2

Toulouse

FRA D1

06/04/2025 14:45

Marseille

3 - 2

Toulouse

FRA D1

31/08/2024 15:00

Toulouse

1 - 3

Marseille

FRA D1

21/04/2024 13:15

Toulouse

2 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

17/09/2023 11:05

Marseille

0 - 0

Toulouse

FRA D1

19/02/2023 15:45

Toulouse

2 - 3

Marseille

FRA D1

Marseille

17%

Draw

50%

Toulouse

33%

Marseille Last 6 matches

01/03/2026 15:45

Marseille 3 - 2 Lyon

FRA D1

20/02/2026 15:45

Stade Brestois 2 - 0 Marseille

FRA D1

14/02/2026 12:00

Marseille 2 - 2 Strasbourg

FRA D1

08/02/2026 15:45

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 5 - 0 Marseille

FRA D1

03/02/2026 16:10

Marseille 3 - 0 Rennes

FRAC

31/01/2026 12:00

Paris FC 2 - 2 Marseille

FRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toulouse

28/02/2026 12:00

Rennes 1 - 0 Toulouse

FRA D1

21/02/2026 14:00

Toulouse 1 - 1 Paris FC

FRA D1

15/02/2026 10:00

Le Havre 2 - 1 Toulouse

FRA D1

08/02/2026 12:15

Angers 1 - 0 Toulouse

FRA D1

04/02/2026 15:30

Toulouse 1 - 0 Amiens

FRAC

01/02/2026 12:15

Toulouse 0 - 0 AJ Auxerre

FRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues French Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Marseille

Toulouse

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.17

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

28 (61%)18 (39%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

21 (55%)17 (45%)

Marseille

Recent matches

Toulouse

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)26 12(32%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(34%)13 25(66%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)20 18(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Marseille

Toulouse

Shots

Marseille

Total shots

14.91 avg / game

Blocked

157 total

Avg. 3.57

Toulouse

Total shots

12.95 avg / game

Blocked

128 total

Avg. 3.66

Marseille Pass Toulouse

Total passes

24681

Avg. 537 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

14518

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Marseille

Played games

Toulouse

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.26

5.24

241

Corners

173

4.55

15.87

730

Throw-ins

615

16.18

1.41

Offsides

1.18

2.91

134

GK saves

2.47

Marseille

DISCIPLINARY

Toulouse

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.26

104

2.29

0.11

0.13

12.67

583

Fouls

550

14.47

8.98

413

Tackles

374

9.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Toulouse on 04 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this French Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Toulouse Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toulouse's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

French Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live French Cup standings and the French Cup form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Toulouse sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our French Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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