Marseille vs Rennes Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 17

Marseille

L W W D W

2nd place in France Ligue 1

4-2

17/05/2025 12:00

Rennes

W W L L W

12th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Rennes on May 17, 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Rennes preview before placing for you.

Marseille are currently 2nd with 65 points after 34 matches.
Rennes sit 12th with 41 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marseille to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history favors Marseille, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Rennes have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-05-17

Marseille vs Rennes - Prediction & Odds

Marseille

Rennes

2025-05-17 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	84	34	26	6	2	92	35	57
02 Marseille	65	34	20	5	9	74	47	27
03 Monaco	61	34	18	7	9	63	41	22
04 Nice	60	34	17	9	8	66	41	25
05 Lille	60	34	17	9	8	52	36	16
06 Lyon	57	34	17	6	11	65	46	19
07 Strasbourg	57	34	16	9	9	56	44	12
08 Lens	52	34	15	7	12	42	39	3
09 Stade Brestois	50	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7
10 Toulouse	42	34	11	9	14	44	43	1
11 AJ Auxerre	42	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3
12 Rennes	41	34	13	2	19	51	50	1
13 Nantes	36	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13
14 Angers	36	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21
15 Le Havre	34	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31
16 Reims	33	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14
17 Saint Etienne	30	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38
18 Montpellier	16	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56

Head To Head

11/01/2025 13:00

Rennes

1 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

17/03/2024 09:05

Rennes

2 - 0

Marseille

FRA D1

21/01/2024 13:05

Rennes

1 - 1

Marseille

FRAC

03/12/2023 12:45

Marseille

2 - 0

Rennes

FRA D1

05/03/2023 12:45

Rennes

0 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

20/01/2023 13:10

Marseille

1 - 0

Rennes

FRAC

Marseille

67%

Draw

17%

Rennes

17%

Marseille Last 6 matches

04/05/2025 11:45

Lille 1 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

27/04/2025 11:45

Marseille 4 - 1 Stade Brestois FRA D1

19/04/2025 12:05

Marseille 5 - 1 Montpellier FRA D1

12/04/2025 08:00

Monaco 3 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

06/04/2025 11:45

Marseille 3 - 2 Toulouse FRA D1

29/03/2025 09:00

Reims 3 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Rennes

03/05/2025 10:00

Toulouse 2 - 1 Rennes FRA D1

26/04/2025 12:05

Lyon 4 - 1 Rennes FRA D1

18/04/2025 11:45

Rennes 2 - 1 Nantes FRA D1

13/04/2025 08:15

Le Havre 1 - 5 Rennes FRA D1

06/04/2025 08:15

Rennes 0 - 1 AJ Auxerre FRA D1

30/03/2025 08:15

Angers 0 - 3 Rennes FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

296

Avg. per game

0.99

Conceded

210

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored

279

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

202

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

184 (61%)116 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

187 (63%)110 (37%)

Marseille

Recent matches

Rennes

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Marseille

Rennes

Shots

Marseille

Total shots

13.24 avg / game

Blocked

795 total

Avg. 3.53

Rennes

Total shots

13.66 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.82

Marseille Pass Rennes

Total passes

138658

Avg. 542 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

122075

Avg. 502 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Marseille

300

Played games

Rennes

297

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.27

5.40

1619

Corners

1484

5.00

14.81

4442

Throw-ins

4564

15.37

1.57

471

Offsides

384

1.29

2.29

686

GK saves

620

2.09

Marseille

DISCIPLINARY

Rennes

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

549

469

1.58

0.12

0.08

10.41

3122

Fouls

3239

10.91

12.85

3856

Tackles

3546

11.94

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Marseille vs Rennes Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Rennes on 17 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Rennes Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Rennes's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Rennes sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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