Marseille vs Rennes: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Marseille

W L D L W

5th place in France Ligue 1

3-1

17/05/2026 15:00

Rennes

W W W L W

6th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Rennes on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Rennes preview before placing your bet.

Marseille are currently 5th with 59 points after 34 matches.
Rennes sit 6th with 59 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marseille to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Marseille, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Rennes have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-05-17

Marseille vs Rennes - Prediction & Odds

Marseille

Rennes

2026-05-17 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	24	4	6	74	29	45
02 Lens	70	34	22	4	8	66	35	31
03 Lille	61	34	18	7	9	52	37	15
04 Lyon	60	34	18	6	10	53	40	13
05 Marseille	59	34	18	5	11	63	45	18
06 Rennes	59	34	17	8	9	59	50	9
07 Monaco	54	34	16	6	12	60	54	6
08 Strasbourg	53	34	15	8	11	58	47	11
09 Lorient	45	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3
10 Toulouse	44	33	12	8	13	47	46	1
11 Paris FC	44	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3
12 Stade Brestois	39	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12
13 Angers	36	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19
14 Le Havre	35	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12
15 AJ Auxerre	34	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10
16 Nice	32	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23
17 Nantes	23	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23
18 Metz	17	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44

Head To Head

03/02/2026 16:10

Marseille

3 - 0

Rennes

FRAC

15/08/2025 14:45

Rennes

1 - 0

Marseille

FRA D1

17/05/2025 15:00

Marseille

4 - 2

Rennes

FRA D1

11/01/2025 16:00

Rennes

1 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

17/03/2024 12:05

Rennes

2 - 0

Marseille

FRA D1

21/01/2024 16:05

Rennes

1 - 1

Marseille

FRAC

Marseille

50%

Draw

17%

Rennes

33%

Marseille Last 6 matches

10/05/2026 15:00

Le Havre 0 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

02/05/2026 09:00

Nantes 3 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

26/04/2026 14:45

Marseille 1 - 1 Nice FRA D1

18/04/2026 11:00

Lorient 2 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

10/04/2026 15:05

Marseille 3 - 1 Metz FRA D1

05/04/2026 14:45

Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Rennes

10/05/2026 15:00

Rennes 2 - 1 Paris FC FRA D1

03/05/2026 14:45

Lyon 4 - 2 Rennes FRA D1

26/04/2026 11:15

Rennes 2 - 1 Nantes FRA D1

19/04/2026 11:15

Strasbourg 0 - 3 Rennes FRA D1

11/04/2026 15:05

Rennes 2 - 1 Angers FRA D1

04/04/2026 13:00

Stade Brestois 3 - 4 Rennes FRA D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Marseille

Rennes

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

14 (82%)3 (18%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

12 (71%)5 (29%)

Marseille

Recent matches

Rennes

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

Under /Over

(65%)11 6(35%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

/Yes

(65%)11 6(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Marseille

Rennes

Shots

Marseille

Total shots

15.88 avg / game

Blocked

62 total

Avg. 4.13

Rennes

Total shots

16.00 avg / game

Blocked

77 total

Avg. 5.13

Marseille Pass Rennes

Total passes

9368

Avg. 551 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

8113

Avg. 477 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Marseille

Played games

Rennes

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.24

5.59

Corners

110

6.47

16.65

283

Throw-ins

354

20.82

1.12

Offsides

2.71

2.76

GK saves

2.65

Marseille

DISCIPLINARY

Rennes

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.18

1.53

0.12

0.06

12.94

220

Fouls

221

13.00

9.29

158

Tackles

170

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Marseille vs Rennes Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Rennes on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Rennes Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Rennes's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Rennes sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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