Marseille vs Lyon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 March

Marseille

W L D L W

5th place in France Ligue 1

3-2

01/03/2026 15:45

Lyon

W W W W L

4th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Lyon on 01 March 2026 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Lyon preview before placing your bet.

Marseille are currently 5th with 59 points after 34 matches.
Lyon sit 4th with 60 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marseille to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Marseille, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Lyon have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2026-03-01

Marseille vs Lyon - Prediction & Odds

Marseille

Lyon

2026-03-01 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 01/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	24	4	6	74	29	45
02 Lens	70	34	22	4	8	66	35	31
03 Lille	61	34	18	7	9	52	37	15
04 Lyon	60	34	18	6	10	53	40	13
05 Marseille	59	34	18	5	11	63	45	18
06 Rennes	59	34	17	8	9	59	50	9
07 Monaco	54	34	16	6	12	60	54	6
08 Strasbourg	53	34	15	8	11	58	47	11
09 Lorient	45	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3
10 Toulouse	44	33	12	8	13	47	46	1
11 Paris FC	44	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3
12 Stade Brestois	39	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12
13 Angers	36	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19
14 Le Havre	35	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12
15 AJ Auxerre	34	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10
16 Nice	32	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23
17 Nantes	23	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23
18 Metz	17	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44

Head To Head

31/08/2025 14:45

Lyon

1 - 0

Marseille

FRA D1

02/02/2025 15:45

Marseille

3 - 2

Lyon

FRA D1

22/09/2024 14:45

Lyon

2 - 3

Marseille

FRA D1

04/02/2024 15:45

Lyon

1 - 0

Marseille

FRA D1

06/12/2023 16:00

Marseille

3 - 0

Lyon

FRA D1

23/04/2023 14:45

Lyon

1 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

Marseille

67%

Draw

Lyon

33%

Marseille Last 6 matches

20/02/2026 15:45

Stade Brestois 2 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

14/02/2026 12:00

Marseille 2 - 2 Strasbourg FRA D1

08/02/2026 15:45

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 5 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

03/02/2026 16:10

Marseille 3 - 0 Rennes FRAC

31/01/2026 12:00

Paris FC 2 - 2 Marseille FRA D1

28/01/2026 16:00

Club Brugge 3 - 0 Marseille UEFA CL

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lyon

15/02/2026 15:45

Lyon 2 - 0 Nice FRA D1

07/02/2026 16:05

Nantes 0 - 1 Lyon FRA D1

04/02/2026 15:30

Lyon 2 - 0 Stade Lavallois MFC FRAC

01/02/2026 10:00

Lyon 1 - 0 Lille FRA D1

29/01/2026 16:00

Lyon 4 - 2 PAOK Saloniki UEFA EL

25/01/2026 12:15

Metz 2 - 5 Lyon FRA D1

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

231

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

152

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

161 (54%)139 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

157 (52%)143 (48%)

Marseille

Recent matches

Lyon

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Marseille

Lyon

Shots

Marseille

Total shots

13.20 avg / game

Blocked

796 total

Avg. 3.52

Lyon

Total shots

13.39 avg / game

Blocked

824 total

Avg. 3.70

Marseille Pass Lyon

Total passes

138946

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

131223

Avg. 527 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Marseille

300

Played games

Lyon

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.30

5.37

1612

Corners

1501

5.00

14.86

4458

Throw-ins

4564

15.21

1.57

471

Offsides

472

1.57

2.30

689

GK saves

804

2.68

Marseille

DISCIPLINARY

Lyon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

552

467

1.56

0.12

0.11

10.46

3137

Fouls

3263

10.88

12.89

3867

Tackles

3699

12.33

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Marseille vs Lyon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Lyon on 01 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Lyon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lyon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Lyon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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