Marseille vs Lens: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 April

Marseille

D D W W L

8th place in France Ligue 1

2-1

28/04/2024 15:00

Lens

L W L W D

7th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 28 April 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Lens preview before placing your bet.

Marseille are currently 8th with 50 points after 34 matches.
Lens sit 7th with 51 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marseille to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Lens, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Marseille have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-04-28

Marseille vs Lens - Prediction & Odds

Marseille

Lens

2024-04-28 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	22	10	2	81	33	48
02 Monaco	67	34	20	7	7	68	42	26
03 Stade Brestois	61	34	17	10	7	53	34	19
04 Lille	59	34	16	11	7	52	34	18
05 Nice	55	34	15	10	9	40	29	11
06 Lyon	53	34	16	5	13	49	55	-6
07 Lens	51	34	14	9	11	45	37	8
08 Marseille	50	34	13	11	10	52	41	11
09 Reims	47	34	13	8	13	42	47	-5
10 Rennes	46	34	12	10	12	53	46	7
11 Toulouse	43	34	11	10	13	42	46	-4
12 Montpellier	41	34	10	12	12	43	48	-5
13 Strasbourg	39	34	10	9	15	38	50	-12
14 Nantes	33	34	9	6	19	30	55	-25
15 Le Havre	32	34	7	11	16	34	45	-11
16 Metz	29	34	8	5	21	35	58	-23
17 Lorient	29	34	7	8	19	43	66	-23
18 Clermont	25	34	5	10	19	26	60	-34

Head To Head

12/11/2023 15:45

Lens

1 - 0

Marseille

FRA D1

06/05/2023 15:00

Lens

2 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

22/10/2022 15:00

Marseille

0 - 1

Lens

FRA D1

22/01/2022 16:00

Lens

0 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

26/09/2021 14:45

Marseille

2 - 3

Lens

FRA D1

03/02/2021 16:00

Lens

2 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

Marseille

17%

Draw

17%

Lens

67%

Marseille Last 6 matches

21/04/2024 13:15

Toulouse 2 - 2 Marseille FRA D1

18/04/2024 15:00

Marseille 1 - 0 Benfica UEFA EL

11/04/2024 15:00

Benfica 2 - 1 Marseille UEFA EL

05/04/2024 15:00

Lille 3 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

31/03/2024 14:45

Marseille 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

17/03/2024 12:05

Rennes 2 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Lens

20/04/2024 15:00

Lens 1 - 0 Clermont FRA D1

12/04/2024 15:00

Metz 2 - 1 Lens FRA D1

06/04/2024 11:00

Lens 1 - 1 Le Havre FRA D1

29/03/2024 16:00

Lille 2 - 1 Lens FRA D1

16/03/2024 16:00

Lens 1 - 3 Nice FRA D1

09/03/2024 16:00

Lens 1 - 0 Stade Brestois FRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

294

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

212

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

254

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

170

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

183 (61%)117 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

178 (62%)107 (38%)

Marseille

Recent matches

Lens

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Marseille

Lens

Shots

Marseille

Total shots

13.20 avg / game

Blocked

796 total

Avg. 3.52

Lens

Total shots

13.97 avg / game

Blocked

677 total

Avg. 3.33

Marseille Pass Lens

Total passes

138946

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

111346

Avg. 480 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Marseille

300

Played games

Lens

285

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.31

5.37

1612

Corners

1386

4.86

14.86

4458

Throw-ins

4224

14.82

1.57

471

Offsides

454

1.59

2.30

689

GK saves

659

2.31

Marseille

DISCIPLINARY

Lens

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

552

522

1.83

0.12

0.12

10.46

3137

Fouls

3102

10.88

12.89

3867

Tackles

3490

12.25

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

NEXT MATCHES

08/16

Lens

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Marseille vs Lens Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 28 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Lens Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lens's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Lens sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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