Marseille vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 November

Marseille

D L W D W

2nd place in Group B

4-3

30/11/2023 16:00

AFC Ajax

W D L W W

3rd place in Group B

UEFA Europa League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs AFC Ajax on 30 November 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Marseille are currently 2nd with 11 points after 6 matches.
AFC Ajax sit 3rd with 5 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marseille to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Marseille and AFC Ajax have each won 1 of the last 4 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2023-11-30

Marseille vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

Marseille

AFC Ajax

2023-11-30 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/11/2023

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Brighton Hove Albion	13	6	4	1	1	10	5	5
02 Marseille	11	6	3	2	1	14	10	4
03 AFC Ajax	5	6	1	2	3	10	13	-3
04 AEK Athens	4	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6

Head To Head

21/09/2023 15:00

AFC Ajax

3 - 3

Marseille

UEFA EL

20/07/2016 14:00

Marseille

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

INT CF

18/03/2009 15:45

AFC Ajax

2 - 1

Marseille

UEFA EL

12/03/2009 15:45

Marseille

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

UEFA EL

Marseille

25%

Draw

50%

AFC Ajax

25%

Marseille Last 6 matches

25/11/2023 16:00

Strasbourg 1 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

12/11/2023 15:45

Lens 1 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

09/11/2023 16:00

AEK Athens 0 - 2 Marseille UEFA EL

04/11/2023 16:00

Marseille 0 - 0 Lille FRA D1

26/10/2023 12:45

Marseille 3 - 1 AEK Athens UEFA EL

21/10/2023 15:00

Nice 1 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

25/11/2023 16:00

AFC Ajax 5 - 0 Vitesse Arnhem HOL D1

12/11/2023 09:30

Almere City FC 2 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

09/11/2023 13:45

AFC Ajax 0 - 2 Brighton Hove Albion UEFA EL

05/11/2023 11:45

AFC Ajax 4 - 1 SC Heerenveen HOL D1

02/11/2023 15:00

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 Volendam HOL D1

29/10/2023 09:30

PSV Eindhoven 5 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

294

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

212

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

183 (61%)117 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

199 (66%)101 (34%)

Marseille

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Marseille

AFC Ajax

Shots

Marseille

Total shots

13.20 avg / game

Blocked

796 total

Avg. 3.52

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.04 avg / game

Blocked

918 total

Avg. 3.99

Marseille Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

138946

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

146232

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Marseille

300

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

101

0.34

5.37

1612

Corners

1710

5.70

14.86

4458

Throw-ins

4373

14.58

1.57

471

Offsides

496

1.65

2.30

689

GK saves

765

2.55

Marseille

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

552

441

1.47

0.12

0.08

10.46

3137

Fouls

2938

9.79

12.89

3867

Tackles

3603

12.01

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Marseille vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs AFC Ajax on 30 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa League standings and the UEFA Europa League form table to understand exactly where Marseille and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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