Maritimo vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 November

Maritimo
WLWWL
1st place in Portugal Segunda Liga
1
2-1
FT
23/11/2025 10:20
Penafiel
WLWLW
14th place in Portugal Segunda Liga
Portugal Segunda Liga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Maritimo vs Penafiel on 23 November 2025 (kick-off: 10:20) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Maritimo vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

  • Maritimo are currently 1st with 66 points after 34 matches.
  • Penafiel sit 14th with 41 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Maritimo to win with probability 57%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Maritimo, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Penafiel have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:20

2025-11-23

Maritimo vs Penafiel - Prediction & Odds

Maritimo
Maritimo
Penafiel
Penafiel
2025-11-23 10:20
57
24
19
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
1.57
FT
2-1 1-1
-
weather
18℃～19℃
STANDINGS UP TO 23/11/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Maritimo Maritimo
66 34 20 6 8 50 29 21
02 Viseu Viseu
59 34 17 8 9 58 33 25
03 SCU Torreense SCU Torreense
59 34 18 5 11 46 33 13
04 Vizela Vizela
51 34 14 9 11 39 40 -1
05 Porto B Porto B
51 34 15 6 13 41 42 -1
06 Uniao Leiria Uniao Leiria
50 34 13 11 10 52 46 6
07 Leixoes Leixoes
50 34 15 5 14 46 55 -9
08 Feirense Feirense
46 34 12 10 12 37 40 -3
09 GD Chaves GD Chaves
45 34 13 6 15 42 40 2
10 SL Benfica B SL Benfica B
44 34 11 11 12 43 44 -1
11 FC Felgueiras FC Felgueiras
44 34 11 11 12 34 38 -4
12 Lusitania FC Lusitania FC
43 34 11 10 13 44 52 -8
13 Sporting CP B Sporting CP B
42 34 13 3 18 41 34 7
14 Penafiel Penafiel
41 34 11 8 15 37 39 -2
15 Portimonense Portimonense
40 34 11 7 16 39 49 -10
16 SC Farense SC Farense
40 34 10 10 14 31 37 -6
17 Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira
39 34 9 12 13 34 48 -14
18 Oliveirense Oliveirense
34 34 8 10 16 34 49 -15
Head To Head
29/03/2025 10:00
Penafiel Penafiel
0 - 1
Maritimo Maritimo
POR D2
02/11/2024 10:00
Maritimo Maritimo
1 - 2
Penafiel Penafiel
POR D2
05/05/2024 06:00
Penafiel Penafiel
0 - 1
Maritimo Maritimo
POR D2
23/12/2023 08:45
Maritimo Maritimo
0 - 0
Penafiel Penafiel
POR D2
20/07/2022 04:35
Maritimo Maritimo
1 - 1
Penafiel Penafiel
INT CF
23/11/2020 10:00
Penafiel Penafiel
2 - 2
Maritimo Maritimo
POR CUP
Maritimo
2
33%
Draw
3
50%
Penafiel
1
17%
Maritimo Maritimo Last 6 matches
09/11/2025 11:30
Maritimo 2 - 0 Pacos de Ferreira POR D2
03/11/2025 14:00
Oliveirense 0 - 2 Maritimo POR D2
30/10/2025 16:15
Maritimo 1 - 3 Uniao Leiria POR D2
19/10/2025 06:00
Porto B 1 - 0 Maritimo POR D2
03/10/2025 13:00
Maritimo 2 - 2 Viseu POR D2
27/09/2025 06:00
Sporting CP B 0 - 1 Maritimo POR D2
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Penafiel Penafiel
08/11/2025 07:00
Penafiel 1 - 1 Sporting CP B POR D2
02/11/2025 07:00
Vizela 1 - 3 Penafiel POR D2
26/10/2025 07:00
SC Farense 0 - 0 Penafiel POR D2
19/10/2025 10:30
Penafiel 1 - 2 Feirense POR D2
05/10/2025 13:00
SL Benfica B 0 - 2 Penafiel POR D2
27/09/2025 06:00
Penafiel 2 - 0 FC Felgueiras POR D2
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Maritimo
Maritimo
248
 Penafiel
Penafiel
242
Goals
Scored
130
Avg. per game
0.52
Conceded
146
Avg. per game
0.59
Scored
110
Avg. per game
0.45
Conceded
125
Avg. per game
0.52
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
0 (0%)6 (100%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
0 (0%)6 (100%)
In last 248 matches
YesNo
104 (42%)144 (58%)
In last 248 matches
NoYes
91 (38%)151 (62%)
Maritimo

Maritimo

Recent matches

Penafiel

Penafiel

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Maritimo Maritimo
Penafiel Penafiel
Shots
Maritimo
Maritimo
Total shots
11.33 avg / game
Blocked
340 total
Avg. 2.93
Penafiel
Penafiel
Total shots
10.18 avg / game
Blocked
46 total
Avg. 2.00
Maritimo Maritimo Pass Penafiel Penafiel
Total passes
37805
Avg. 378 / game
Accurate
76%
Ball possession
51%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Maritimo
Maritimo
20892
Avg. 84.24 / game
 Penafiel
Penafiel
20287
Avg. 83.83 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Maritimo
Maritimo
11130
Avg. 44.88 / game
 Penafiel
Penafiel
12226
Avg. 50.52 / game
OTHERS
Maritimo
Maritimo
248
Played games
Penafiel
Penafiel
242
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.31
78
Clean sheets
74
0.31
4.65
1154
Corners
1129
4.67
10.65
2640
Throw-ins
682
2.82
1.39
344
Offsides
137
0.57
2.05
509
GK saves
403
1.67
Maritimo
Maritimo
DISCIPLINARY
Penafiel
Penafiel
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.70
670
Yellow card
597
2.47
0.17
43
Red card
26
0.11
13.24
3284
Fouls
2487
10.28
6.78
1682
Tackles
0
0.00
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NEXT MATCHES
08/09
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VS
Portimonense Portimonense
POR
08/16
SCU Torreense SCU Torreense
VS
Penafiel Penafiel
POR
08/23
Penafiel Penafiel
VS
Sporting CP B Sporting CP B
POR
08/30
Porto B Porto B
VS
Penafiel Penafiel
POR
09/06
Penafiel Penafiel
VS
Academica Coimbra Academica Coimbra
POR

How We Build the Maritimo vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Maritimo vs Penafiel on 23 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Maritimo vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Maritimo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Maritimo and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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