Maritimo vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 December

Maritimo

D W W W W

4th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

0-0

23/12/2023 12:45

Penafiel

W D W L L

13th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Maritimo vs Penafiel on 23 December 2023 (kick-off: 12:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Maritimo vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

Maritimo are currently 4th with 64 points after 34 matches.
Penafiel sit 13th with 39 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Maritimo to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Maritimo, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Penafiel have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:45

2023-12-23

Maritimo vs Penafiel - Prediction & Odds

Maritimo

Penafiel

2023-12-23 12:45

STANDINGS UP TO 23/12/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Santa Clara	73	34	21	10	3	48	19	29
02 Nacional da Madeira	71	34	21	8	5	66	35	31
03 AVS Futebol SAD	64	34	20	4	10	50	34	16
04 Maritimo	64	34	18	10	6	52	29	23
05 Pacos de Ferreira	52	34	14	10	10	42	35	7
06 CD Tondela	49	34	12	13	9	46	43	3
07 SCU Torreense	48	34	13	9	12	40	37	3
08 SL Benfica B	45	34	12	9	13	48	48	0
09 CD Mafra	44	34	11	11	12	40	42	-2
10 Porto B	44	34	12	8	14	51	51	0
11 Viseu	43	34	9	16	9	36	38	-2
12 Uniao Leiria	42	34	11	9	14	44	40	4
13 Penafiel	39	34	11	6	17	31	39	-8
14 Leixoes	37	34	7	16	11	29	38	-9
15 Oliveirense	34	34	8	10	16	37	54	-17
16 Feirense	31	34	8	7	19	31	49	-18
17 Vilaverdense	28	34	8	4	22	30	59	-29
18 CF Os Belenenses	26	34	6	8	20	28	59	-31

Head To Head

20/07/2022 08:35

Maritimo

1 - 1

Penafiel

INT CF

23/11/2020 14:00

Penafiel

2 - 2

Maritimo

POR CN

21/12/2019 15:00

Maritimo

0 - 0

Penafiel

PORLC

25/07/2015 16:30

Maritimo

1 - 1

Penafiel

INT CF

15/02/2015 15:59

Penafiel

3 - 4

Maritimo

POR D1

14/09/2014 15:00

Maritimo

2 - 0

Penafiel

POR D1

Maritimo

33%

Draw

67%

Penafiel

Maritimo Last 6 matches

17/12/2023 14:00

Feirense 0 - 1 Maritimo POR D2

10/12/2023 15:30

Maritimo 4 - 0 Vilaverdense POR D2

03/12/2023 15:30

Santa Clara 2 - 1 Maritimo POR D2

25/11/2023 11:00

CF Canelas 2010 1 - 3 Maritimo POR CN

19/11/2023 15:30

Maritimo 1 - 2 SCU Torreense POR D2

12/11/2023 15:30

Leixoes 0 - 1 Maritimo POR D2

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Penafiel

16/12/2023 14:00

Penafiel 1 - 0 Uniao Leiria POR D2

09/12/2023 11:00

Pacos de Ferreira 2 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

03/12/2023 14:00

Penafiel 0 - 2 CD Tondela POR D2

25/11/2023 18:15

Penafiel 2 - 2 Vitoria Setubal POR CN

19/11/2023 14:00

CF Os Belenenses 2 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

11/11/2023 14:00

Penafiel 3 - 2 Porto B POR D2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

130

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

146

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

110

Avg. per game

0.46

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 247 matches

YesNo

104 (42%)143 (58%)

In last 247 matches

NoYes

91 (38%)149 (62%)

Maritimo

Recent matches

Penafiel

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Maritimo

Penafiel

Shots

Maritimo

Total shots

11.33 avg / game

Blocked

340 total

Avg. 2.93

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Maritimo Pass Penafiel

Total passes

37805

Avg. 378 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Maritimo

247

Played games

Penafiel

240

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.31

4.67

1154

Corners

1129

4.70

10.69

2640

Throw-ins

682

2.84

1.39

344

Offsides

137

0.57

2.06

509

GK saves

403

1.68

Maritimo

DISCIPLINARY

Penafiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.71

670

597

2.49

0.17

0.11

13.30

3284

Fouls

2487

10.36

6.81

1682

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Maritimo vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Maritimo vs Penafiel on 23 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Maritimo vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Maritimo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Maritimo and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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