Manchester United vs Brighton Hove Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 January

Manchester United

No standing data

1-2

Manchester United
Win Probability 49%

11/01/2026 12:30

Brighton Hove Albion

No standing data

England FA Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Manchester United vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 January 2026 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Manchester United vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing your bet.

Manchester United will face Brighton Hove Albion in England FA Cup on January 11, 2026 at 12:30.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.83.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2026-01-11

Manchester United vs Brighton Hove Albion - Prediction & Odds

Manchester United

Brighton Hove Albion

2026-01-11 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/01/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Manchester United and Brighton Hove Albion in the England FA Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

25/10/2025 12:30

Manchester United

4 - 2

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

19/01/2025 10:00

Manchester United

1 - 3

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

24/08/2024 07:30

Brighton Hove Albion

2 - 1

Manchester United

ENG PR

19/05/2024 11:00

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 2

Manchester United

ENG PR

16/09/2023 10:00

Manchester United

1 - 3

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

04/05/2023 15:00

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 0

Manchester United

ENG PR

Manchester United

50%

Draw

Brighton Hove Albion

50%

Manchester United Last 6 matches

04/01/2026 08:30

Leeds United 1 - 1 Manchester United

ENG PR

30/12/2025 16:15

Manchester United 1 - 1 Wolves

ENG PR

26/12/2025 16:00

Manchester United 1 - 0 Newcastle United

ENG PR

21/12/2025 12:30

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Manchester United

ENG PR

15/12/2025 16:00

Manchester United 4 - 4 AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

08/12/2025 16:00

Wolves 1 - 4 Manchester United

ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Brighton Hove Albion

03/01/2026 11:00

Brighton Hove Albion 2 - 0 Burnley

ENG PR

30/12/2025 15:30

West Ham United 2 - 2 Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

27/12/2025 11:00

Arsenal 2 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

20/12/2025 11:00

Brighton Hove Albion 0 - 0 Sunderland A.F.C

ENG PR

13/12/2025 11:00

Liverpool 2 - 0 Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

07/12/2025 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 1 West Ham United

ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England FA Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Manchester United

Brighton Hove Albion

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.10

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.90

Scored

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 20 home matches

YesNo

13 (65%)7 (35%)

In last 20 home matches

NoYes

13 (68%)6 (32%)

Manchester United

Recent matches

Brighton Hove Albion

Under /Over

(85%)17 3(15%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

Under /Over

(40%)8 12(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(55%)11 9(45%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

/Yes

(70%)14 6(30%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Manchester United

Brighton Hove Albion

Shots

Manchester United

Total shots

17.95 avg / game

Blocked

97 total

Avg. 4.85

Brighton Hove Albion

Total shots

13.74 avg / game

Blocked

67 total

Avg. 3.72

Manchester United Pass Brighton Hove Albion

Total passes

9233

Avg. 462 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

8643

Avg. 455 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Manchester United

Played games

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.20

Clean sheets

0.26

5.30

106

Corners

4.95

17.30

346

Throw-ins

298

15.68

1.85

Offsides

1.74

2.20

GK saves

2.68

Manchester United

DISCIPLINARY

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.90

1.79

0.15

0.00

10.50

210

Fouls

200

10.53

10.90

218

Tackles

191

10.05

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Manchester United vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Manchester United vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England FA Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Manchester United vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Manchester United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England FA Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England FA Cup standings and the England FA Cup form table to understand exactly where Manchester United and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England FA Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More England FA Cup Predictions

Find every upcoming England FA Cup fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less