Manchester United vs Arsenal Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 09

Manchester United

L D L L L

15th place in English Premier League

1-1

09/03/2025 12:30

Arsenal

W D L D W

2nd place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Manchester United vs Arsenal on March 09, 2025 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Manchester United vs Arsenal preview before placing for you.

Manchester United are currently 15th with 42 points after 38 matches.
Arsenal sit 2nd with 74 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 50%.
Head-to-head history favors Arsenal, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Manchester United have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2025-03-09

Manchester United vs Arsenal - Prediction & Odds

Manchester United

Arsenal

2025-03-09 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/03/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

12/01/2025 11:00

Arsenal

1 - 1

Manchester United

ENG FAC

04/12/2024 16:15

Arsenal

2 - 0

Manchester United

ENG PR

27/07/2024 20:00

Arsenal

2 - 1

Manchester United

INT CF

12/05/2024 11:30

Manchester United

0 - 1

Arsenal

ENG PR

03/09/2023 11:30

Arsenal

3 - 1

Manchester United

ENG PR

22/07/2023 17:00

Arsenal

0 - 2

Manchester United

INT CF

Manchester United

17%

Draw

17%

Arsenal

67%

Manchester United Last 6 matches

26/02/2025 15:30

Manchester United 3 - 2 Ipswich Town ENG PR

22/02/2025 08:30

Everton 2 - 2 Manchester United ENG PR

16/02/2025 12:30

Tottenham Hotspur 1 - 0 Manchester United ENG PR

07/02/2025 16:00

Manchester United 2 - 1 Leicester City ENG FAC

02/02/2025 10:00

Manchester United 0 - 2 Crystal Palace ENG PR

30/01/2025 16:00

FC Steaua Bucuresti 0 - 2 Manchester United UEFA EL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Arsenal

26/02/2025 15:30

Nottingham Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal ENG PR

22/02/2025 11:00

Arsenal 0 - 1 West Ham United ENG PR

15/02/2025 08:30

Leicester City 0 - 2 Arsenal ENG PR

05/02/2025 16:00

Newcastle United 2 - 0 Arsenal ENG LC

02/02/2025 12:30

Arsenal 5 - 1 Manchester City ENG PR

29/01/2025 16:00

Girona 1 - 2 Arsenal UEFA CL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Manchester United

Arsenal

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

9 (47%)10 (53%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

10 (53%)9 (47%)

Manchester United

Recent matches

Arsenal

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

/Yes

(37%)7 12(63%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Manchester United

Arsenal

Shots

Manchester United

Total shots

14.84 avg / game

Blocked

73 total

Avg. 4.29

Arsenal

Total shots

16.16 avg / game

Blocked

71 total

Avg. 5.07

Manchester United Pass Arsenal

Total passes

9209

Avg. 485 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

9443

Avg. 497 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Manchester United

Played games

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.37

5.53

105

Corners

141

7.42

15.47

294

Throw-ins

293

15.42

1.47

Offsides

2.32

GK saves

1.68

Manchester United

DISCIPLINARY

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

1.68

0.11

0.11

10.32

196

Fouls

183

9.63

22.37

425

Tackles

271

14.26

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Manchester United vs Arsenal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Manchester United vs Arsenal on 09 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Manchester United vs Arsenal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Manchester United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arsenal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Manchester United and Arsenal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More English Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming English Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less