Malta vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 March

Malta

L D W L W

5th place in Group C

0-2

26/03/2023 14:45

Italy

L W W W L

2nd place in Group C

UEFA European Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Malta vs Italy on 26 March 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Malta vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

Malta are currently 5th with 0 points after 8 matches.
Italy sit 2nd with 14 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Italy to win with probability 85%.
Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won 4 of the last 4 meetings. Malta have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2023-03-26

Malta vs Italy - Prediction & Odds

Malta

Italy

2023-03-26 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 26/03/2023

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 England	20	8	6	2	0	22	4	18
02 Italy	14	8	4	2	2	16	9	7
03 Ukraine	14	8	4	2	2	11	8	3
04 North Macedonia	8	8	2	2	4	10	20	-10
05 Malta	0	8	0	0	8	2	20	-18

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	9	3	3	0	0	5	0	5
02 Italy	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Croatia	2	3	0	2	1	3	6	-3
04 Albania	1	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2

Head To Head

03/09/2015 14:45

Italy

1 - 0

Malta

EURO Cup

13/10/2014 14:45

Malta

0 - 1

Italy

EURO Cup

26/03/2013 15:45

Malta

0 - 2

Italy

WCPEU

11/09/2012 14:45

Italy

2 - 0

Malta

WCPEU

Malta

Draw

Italy

100%

Malta Last 6 matches

20/11/2022 15:00

Malta 0 - 1 Ireland INT FRL

17/11/2022 13:00

Malta 2 - 2 Greece INT FRL

27/09/2022 15:00

Malta 2 - 1 Israel INT FRL

23/09/2022 11:59

Estonia 2 - 1 Malta UEFA NL

12/06/2022 14:45

Malta 1 - 0 San Marino UEFA NL

09/06/2022 14:45

Malta 1 - 2 Estonia UEFA NL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Italy

20/11/2022 15:45

Austria 2 - 0 Italy INT FRL

16/11/2022 15:45

Albania 1 - 3 Italy INT FRL

26/09/2022 14:45

Hungary 0 - 2 Italy UEFA NL

23/09/2022 14:45

Italy 1 - 0 England UEFA NL

14/06/2022 14:45

Germany 5 - 2 Italy UEFA NL

11/06/2022 14:45

England 0 - 0 Italy UEFA NL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA European Champion...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Malta

Italy

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.54

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.08

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 71 matches

YesNo

28 (39%)43 (61%)

In last 71 matches

NoYes

50 (59%)35 (41%)

Malta

Recent matches

Italy

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(31%)14 31(69%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Malta

Italy

Shots

Malta

Total shots

8.40 avg / game

Blocked

111 total

Avg. 2.71

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Malta Pass Italy

Total passes

16400

Avg. 400 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Malta

Played games

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.47

2.48

176

Corners

425

5.00

11.37

807

Throw-ins

1131

13.31

0.92

Offsides

150

1.76

1.75

124

GK saves

161

1.89

Malta

DISCIPLINARY

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.62

115

122

1.44

0.14

0.05

8.23

584

Fouls

830

9.76

7.42

527

Tackles

825

9.71

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Malta vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Malta vs Italy on 26 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA European Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Malta vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Malta's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA European Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA European Championship standings and the UEFA European Championship form table to understand exactly where Malta and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA European Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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