Mali vs Senegal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 January

Prediction Match Centre

Mali

1st place in African Nations Cup

0-1

Senegal
Win Probability 57%

09/01/2026 12:00

Senegal

No standing data

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mali vs Senegal on 09 January 2026 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mali vs Senegal preview before placing your bet.

Mali will face Senegal in African Nations Cup on January 9, 2026 at 12:00.
Mali are currently 1st with 14 points after 6 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.57.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2026-01-09

Mali vs Senegal - Prediction & Odds

Mali

Senegal

2026-01-09 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/01/2026

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	14	6	4	2	0	10	1	9
02 Mozambique	11	6	3	2	1	9	5	4
03 Guinea Bissau	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
04 Eswatini	2	6	0	2	4	2	13	-11

Group L	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	16	6	5	1	0	10	1	9
02 Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	2	10	7	3
03 Burundi	4	6	1	1	4	4	11	-7
04 Malawi	4	6	1	1	4	6	11	-5

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	7	3	2	1	0	6	1	5
02 Mali	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Comoros	2	3	0	2	1	0	2	-2
04 Zambia	2	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	7	3	2	1	0	7	1	6
02 Democratic Rep Congo	7	3	2	1	0	5	1	4
03 Benin	3	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3
04 Botswana	0	3	0	0	3	0	7	-7

Head To Head

09/10/2019 16:00

Senegal

2 - 0

Mali

WAFU

26/03/2019 13:00

Senegal

2 - 1

Mali

INT FRL

03/12/2016 11:30

Mali

0 - 1

Senegal

INT CF

05/03/2014 14:00

Senegal

1 - 1

Mali

INT FRL

17/11/2007 11:59

Mali

2 - 3

Senegal

INT CF

08/10/2005 11:00

Senegal

3 - 0

Mali

WCPAF

Senegal

50%

Draw

17%

Mali

33%

Mali Last 6 matches

03/01/2026 15:00

Mali 1 - 1 Tunisia

CAF NC

29/12/2025 15:00

Comoros 0 - 0 Mali

CAF NC

26/12/2025 16:00

Morocco 1 - 1 Mali

CAF NC

22/12/2025 10:00

Mali 1 - 1 Zambia

CAF NC

18/11/2025 14:00

Jordan 0 - 0 Mali

INT FRL

12/10/2025 15:00

Mali 4 - 1 Madagascar

WCPAF

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Last 6 matches Senegal

03/01/2026 12:00

Senegal 3 - 1 Sudan

CAF NC

30/12/2025 15:00

Benin 0 - 3 Senegal

CAF NC

27/12/2025 11:00

Senegal 1 - 1 Democratic Rep Congo

CAF NC

23/12/2025 11:00

Senegal 3 - 0 Botswana

CAF NC

18/11/2025 11:00

Senegal 8 - 0 Kenya

INT FRL

15/11/2025 12:00

Brazil 2 - 0 Senegal

INT FRL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Mali

Senegal

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.33

Scored

Avg. per game

1.13

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.25

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

Mali

Recent matches

Senegal

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)6 2(25%)

Under /Over

(17%)1 5(83%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(13%)1 7(87%)

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)3 5(62%)

/Yes

(50%)3 3(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)3 5(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mali

Senegal

Shots

Mali

Total shots

14.50 avg / game

Blocked

11 total

Avg. 3.67

Senegal

Total shots

15.38 avg / game

Blocked

21 total

Avg. 3.50

Mali Pass Senegal

Total passes

2423

Avg. 404 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

4256

Avg. 532 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

63%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mali

Played games

Senegal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.63

4.50

Corners

6.88

22.50

135

Throw-ins

149

18.63

1.83

Offsides

2.13

2.00

GK saves

1.50

Mali

DISCIPLINARY

Senegal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

1.75

0.33

0.00

11.00

Fouls

136

17.00

11.00

Tackles

11.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Mali vs Senegal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mali vs Senegal on 09 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mali vs Senegal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mali's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Senegal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Mali and Senegal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More African Nations Cup Predictions

Find every upcoming African Nations Cup fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less