Mali vs Guinea Bissau: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Mali

W D D L W

1st place in Group I

1-0

11/10/2024 15:00

Guinea Bissau

L W D D W

3rd place in Group I

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mali vs Guinea Bissau on 11 October 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mali vs Guinea Bissau preview before placing your bet.

Mali are currently 1st with 14 points after 6 matches.
Guinea Bissau sit 3rd with 5 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Mali to win with probability 66%.
Head-to-head history favors Mali, who have won 4 of the last 5 meetings. Guinea Bissau have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-10-11

Mali vs Guinea Bissau - Prediction & Odds

Mali

Guinea Bissau

2024-10-11 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2024

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	14	6	4	2	0	10	1	9
02 Mozambique	11	6	3	2	1	9	5	4
03 Guinea Bissau	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
04 Eswatini	2	6	0	2	4	2	13	-11

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	7	3	2	1	0	6	1	5
02 Mali	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Comoros	2	3	0	2	1	0	2	-2
04 Zambia	2	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3

Head To Head

06/01/2024 15:00

Mali

6 - 2

Guinea Bissau

INT FRL

04/08/2019 11:59

Mali

3 - 0

Guinea Bissau

CAF SC

27/07/2019 12:30

Guinea Bissau

0 - 4

Mali

CAF SC

05/07/2015 13:00

Mali

3 - 1

Guinea Bissau

CAF SC

20/06/2015 09:30

Guinea Bissau

1 - 1

Mali

CAF SC

Mali

80%

Draw

20%

Guinea Bissau

Mali Last 6 matches

10/09/2024 09:00

Eswatini 0 - 1 Mali CAF NC

06/09/2024 15:00

Mali 1 - 1 Mozambique CAF NC

11/06/2024 09:00

Madagascar 0 - 0 Mali WCPAF

06/06/2024 15:00

Mali 1 - 2 Ghana WCPAF

26/03/2024 17:00

Nigeria 0 - 2 Mali INT FRL

22/03/2024 18:00

Mali 2 - 0 Mauritania INT FRL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Guinea Bissau

10/09/2024 09:00

Mozambique 2 - 1 Guinea Bissau CAF NC

05/09/2024 12:00

Guinea Bissau 1 - 0 Eswatini CAF NC

10/06/2024 11:59

Guinea Bissau 1 - 1 Egypt WCPAF

06/06/2024 11:59

Guinea Bissau 0 - 0 Ethiopia WCPAF

25/03/2024 18:30

Guinea Bissau 2 - 1 Sudan INT FRL

22/03/2024 18:10

Sudan 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Mali

Guinea Bissau

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.37

Scored

Avg. per game

0.49

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 79 matches

YesNo

36 (46%)43 (54%)

In last 79 matches

NoYes

21 (34%)40 (66%)

Mali

Recent matches

Guinea Bissau

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mali

Guinea Bissau

Shots

Mali

Total shots

10.73 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.05

Guinea Bissau

Total shots

8.05 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 1.40

Mali Pass Guinea Bissau

Total passes

11716

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

5988

Avg. 333 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mali

Played games

Guinea Bissau

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.54

Clean sheets

0.26

3.61

285

Corners

135

2.21

5.57

440

Throw-ins

269

4.41

1.04

Offsides

0.74

1.06

GK saves

1.10

Mali

DISCIPLINARY

Guinea Bissau

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.42

112

0.90

0.13

0.05

7.16

566

Fouls

323

5.30

4.72

373

Tackles

235

3.85

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Mali vs Guinea Bissau Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mali vs Guinea Bissau on 11 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mali vs Guinea Bissau Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mali's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Guinea Bissau's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Mali and Guinea Bissau sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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