Mali vs Gambia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 March

Mali

L D W D L

1st place in Group G

2 - 0

24/03/2023 15:00

Gambia

D L W L W

2nd place in Group G

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mali vs Gambia on 24 March 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mali vs Gambia preview before placing your bet.

Mali are currently 1st with 15 points after 6 matches.
Gambia sit 2nd with 10 points from 6 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Mali, who have won 1 of the last 3 meetings. Gambia have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 24/03/2023

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	15	6	5	0	1	15	2	13
02 Gambia	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
03 Congo	7	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5
04 South Sudan	3	6	1	0	5	5	13	-8

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	9	3	3	0	0	8	1	7
02 Cameroon	4	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1
03 Guinea	4	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1
04 Gambia	0	3	0	0	3	2	7	-5

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	5	3	1	2	0	3	1	2
02 South Africa	4	3	1	1	1	4	2	2
03 Namibia	4	3	1	1	1	1	4	-3
04 Tunisia	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1

Head To Head

16/01/2022 09:00

Gambia

1 - 1

Mali

CAF NC

22/07/2017 13:00

Mali

4 - 0

Gambia

CAF SC

15/07/2017 12:30

Gambia

0 - 0

Mali

CAF SC

Mali

33%

Draw

67%

Gambia

Mali Last 6 matches

24/01/2023 11:59

Mauritania 1 - 0 Mali CAF SC

16/01/2023 11:59

Mali 3 - 3 Angola CAF SC

10/01/2023 10:00

Mali 1 - 0 Democratic Rep Congo INT FRL

16/11/2022 15:30

Algeria 1 - 1 Mali INT FRL

29/10/2022 14:30

Algeria 4 - 0 Mali INT FRL

23/09/2022 15:00

Mali 1 - 0 Zambia INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Gambia

20/11/2022 08:10

Guinea Bissau 0 - 0 Gambia INT FRL

26/07/2022 11:00

Guinea Bissau 1 - 0 Gambia CAF SC

23/07/2022 15:00

Gambia 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau CAF SC

08/06/2022 11:59

Congo 1 - 0 Gambia CAF NC

04/06/2022 11:59

Gambia 1 - 0 South Sudan CAF NC

29/05/2022 11:40

United Arab Emirates 1 - 1 Gambia INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Mali

Gambia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.22

Scored

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 79 matches

YesNo

35 (44%)44 (56%)

In last 79 matches

NoYes

25 (40%)37 (60%)

Mali

Recent matches

Gambia

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mali

Gambia

Shots

Mali

Total shots

10.73 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.05

Gambia

Total shots

9.11 avg / game

Blocked

24 total

Avg. 1.71

Mali Pass Gambia

Total passes

11716

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

6236

Avg. 312 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mali

Played games

Gambia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.54

Clean sheets

0.29

3.61

285

Corners

144

2.32

5.57

440

Throw-ins

296

4.77

1.04

Offsides

0.69

1.06

GK saves

1.31

Mali

DISCIPLINARY

Gambia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.42

112

1.15

0.13

0.03

7.16

566

Fouls

388

6.26

4.72

373

Tackles

225

3.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Mali vs Gambia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mali vs Gambia on 24 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mali vs Gambia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mali's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gambia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Mali and Gambia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More African Nations Cup Predictions

Find every upcoming African Nations Cup fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less