Malawi vs Senegal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 October

Malawi

L L L L W

4th place in Group L

0-1

15/10/2024 09:00

Senegal

W W D W D

1st place in Group L

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Malawi vs Senegal on 15 October 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Malawi vs Senegal preview before placing your bet.

Malawi are currently 4th with 4 points after 6 matches.
Senegal sit 1st with 16 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Senegal to win with probability 73%.
Head-to-head history favors Senegal, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Malawi have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2024-10-15

Malawi vs Senegal - Prediction & Odds

Malawi

Senegal

2024-10-15 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 15/10/2024

Group L	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	16	6	5	1	0	10	1	9
02 Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	2	10	7	3
03 Burundi	4	6	1	1	4	4	11	-7
04 Malawi	4	6	1	1	4	6	11	-5

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	7	3	2	1	0	7	1	6
02 Democratic Rep Congo	7	3	2	1	0	5	1	4
03 Benin	3	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3
04 Botswana	0	3	0	0	3	0	7	-7

Head To Head

11/10/2024 15:00

Senegal

4 - 0

Malawi

CAF NC

18/01/2022 11:59

Malawi

0 - 0

Senegal

CAF NC

14/07/2021 06:00

Senegal

2 - 1

Malawi

COSAFA Cup

Malawi

Draw

33%

Senegal

67%

Malawi Last 6 matches

11/10/2024 15:00

Senegal 4 - 0 Malawi CAF NC

10/09/2024 15:00

Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Malawi CAF NC

05/09/2024 09:00

Malawi 2 - 3 Burundi CAF NC

10/06/2024 09:00

Equatorial Guinea 1 - 0 Malawi WCPAF

06/06/2024 09:00

Malawi 3 - 1 Sao Tome Principe WCPAF

26/03/2024 08:00

Malawi 1 - 2 Zambia INT FRL

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Senegal

11/10/2024 15:00

Senegal 4 - 0 Malawi CAF NC

09/09/2024 09:00

Burundi 0 - 1 Senegal CAF NC

06/09/2024 15:00

Senegal 1 - 1 Burkina Faso CAF NC

09/06/2024 11:59

Mauritania 0 - 1 Senegal WCPAF

06/06/2024 15:00

Senegal 1 - 1 Democratic Rep Congo WCPAF

26/03/2024 15:30

Benin 0 - 1 Senegal INT FRL

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Malawi

Senegal

114

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.32

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 78 matches

YesNo

22 (28%)56 (72%)

In last 78 matches

NoYes

60 (53%)54 (47%)

Malawi

Recent matches

Senegal

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Malawi

Senegal

Shots

Malawi

Total shots

8.20 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.89

Senegal

Total shots

12.29 avg / game

Blocked

125 total

Avg. 3.29

Malawi Pass Senegal

Total passes

3912

Avg. 245 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

21059

Avg. 421 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Malawi

Played games

Senegal

114

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.52

3.10

242

Corners

580

5.09

2.28

178

Throw-ins

777

6.82

0.62

Offsides

111

0.97

1.00

GK saves

128

1.12

Malawi

DISCIPLINARY

Senegal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.17

177

1.55

0.04

0.03

4.44

346

Fouls

827

7.25

2.21

172

Tackles

548

4.81

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Malawi vs Senegal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Malawi vs Senegal on 15 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Malawi vs Senegal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Malawi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Senegal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Malawi and Senegal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More African Nations Cup Predictions

Find every upcoming African Nations Cup fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less