Malawi vs Kenya: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Malawi

L W D D D

No standing data

0-4

23/03/2024 11:20

Kenya

W L D L W

No standing data

International Friendly

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Malawi vs Kenya on 23 March 2024 (kick-off: 11:20) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Malawi vs Kenya preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 31%.
Head-to-head history favors Kenya, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Malawi have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:20

2024-03-23

Malawi vs Kenya - Prediction & Odds

Malawi

Kenya

2024-03-23 11:20

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Malawi and Kenya in the International Friendly football standings for the 2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

11/09/2018 08:00

Kenya

1 - 0

Malawi

INT FRL

18/04/2017 08:00

Kenya

0 - 0

Malawi

INT FRL

12/06/2013 08:30

Malawi

2 - 2

Kenya

WCPAF

04/12/2012 09:00

Kenya

1 - 0

Malawi

CECAFA Cup

02/06/2012 09:00

Kenya

0 - 0

Malawi

WCPAF

28/11/2011 09:00

Kenya

0 - 2

Malawi

CECAFA Cup

Malawi

17%

Draw

50%

Kenya

33%

Malawi Last 6 matches

21/11/2023 09:00

Malawi 0 - 1 Tunisia WCPAF

17/11/2023 11:59

Liberia 0 - 1 Malawi WCPAF

09/09/2023 09:00

Malawi 2 - 2 Guinea CAF NC

16/07/2023 09:00

Malawi 0 - 0 South Africa SACC

14/07/2023 09:00

Malawi 1 - 1 Lesotho SACC

11/07/2023 09:00

Malawi 2 - 0 Comoros SACC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Kenya

20/11/2023 15:00

Seychelles 0 - 5 Kenya WCPAF

16/11/2023 11:59

Gabon 2 - 1 Kenya WCPAF

16/10/2023 11:59

Russia 2 - 2 Kenya INT FRL

12/09/2023 09:00

Kenya 0 - 1 South Sudan INT FRL

07/09/2023 11:15

Qatar 1 - 2 Kenya INT FRL

18/06/2023 07:30

Mauritius 1 - 0 Kenya INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues International Friendly

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Malawi

Kenya

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.32

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 78 matches

YesNo

22 (28%)56 (72%)

In last 78 matches

NoYes

25 (42%)34 (58%)

Malawi

Recent matches

Kenya

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Malawi

Kenya

Shots

Malawi

Total shots

8.20 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.89

Kenya

Total shots

9.60 avg / game

Blocked

22 total

Avg. 2.75

Malawi Pass Kenya

Total passes

3912

Avg. 245 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

4154

Avg. 297 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Malawi

Played games

Kenya

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.32

3.10

242

Corners

183

3.10

2.28

178

Throw-ins

353

5.98

0.62

Offsides

0.88

1.00

GK saves

0.88

Malawi

DISCIPLINARY

Kenya

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.17

1.39

0.04

0.10

4.44

346

Fouls

344

5.83

2.21

172

Tackles

133

2.25

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Malawi vs Kenya Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Malawi vs Kenya on 23 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this International Friendly fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Malawi vs Kenya Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Malawi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Kenya's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

International Friendly Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live International Friendly standings and the International Friendly form table to understand exactly where Malawi and Kenya sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our International Friendly predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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