Malawi vs Guinea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 September

Malawi

D D W W W

3rd place in Group D

2 - 2

09/09/2023 09:00

Guinea

L L W W L

2nd place in Group D

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Malawi vs Guinea on 09 September 2023 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Malawi vs Guinea preview before placing your bet.

Malawi are currently 3rd with 5 points after 6 matches.
Guinea sit 2nd with 10 points from 6 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Guinea, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Malawi have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 09/09/2023

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Egypt	15	6	5	0	1	10	3	7
02 Guinea	10	6	3	1	2	9	7	2
03 Malawi	5	6	1	2	3	4	10	-6
04 Ethiopia	4	6	1	1	4	5	8	-3

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	9	3	3	0	0	8	1	7
02 Cameroon	4	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1
03 Guinea	4	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1
04 Gambia	0	3	0	0	3	2	7	-5

Head To Head

09/06/2022 11:59

Guinea

1 - 0

Malawi

CAF NC

10/01/2022 11:59

Guinea

1 - 0

Malawi

CAF NC

29/03/2016 08:30

Malawi

1 - 2

Guinea

CAF NC

25/03/2016 13:00

Guinea

0 - 0

Malawi

CAF NC

05/09/2009 08:30

Malawi

2 - 1

Guinea

WCPAF

21/06/2009 13:15

Guinea

2 - 1

Malawi

WCPAF

Malawi

17%

Draw

17%

Guinea

67%

Malawi Last 6 matches

16/07/2023 09:00

Malawi 0 - 0 South Africa SACC

14/07/2023 09:00

Malawi 1 - 1 Lesotho SACC

11/07/2023 09:00

Malawi 2 - 0 Comoros SACC

09/07/2023 11:59

Malawi 2 - 0 Seychelles SACC

06/07/2023 11:59

Zambia 0 - 1 Malawi SACC

20/06/2023 10:00

Ethiopia 0 - 0 Malawi CAF NC

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Guinea

17/06/2023 15:30

Brazil 4 - 1 Guinea INT FRL

14/06/2023 14:00

Guinea 1 - 2 Egypt CAF NC

27/03/2023 15:00

Ethiopia 2 - 3 Guinea CAF NC

24/03/2023 16:30

Guinea 2 - 0 Ethiopia CAF NC

27/09/2022 14:00

Ivory Coast 3 - 1 Guinea INT FRL

23/09/2022 15:00

Algeria 1 - 0 Guinea INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Malawi

Guinea

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.32

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored

Avg. per game

0.51

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 78 matches

YesNo

22 (28%)56 (72%)

In last 78 matches

NoYes

30 (36%)53 (64%)

Malawi

Recent matches

Guinea

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Malawi

Guinea

Shots

Malawi

Total shots

8.20 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.89

Guinea

Total shots

9.29 avg / game

Blocked

50 total

Avg. 2.63

Malawi Pass Guinea

Total passes

3912

Avg. 245 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

9271

Avg. 386 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Malawi

Played games

Guinea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.35

3.10

242

Corners

303

3.65

2.28

178

Throw-ins

397

4.78

0.62

Offsides

0.63

1.00

GK saves

0.88

Malawi

DISCIPLINARY

Guinea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.17

102

1.23

0.04

0.04

4.44

346

Fouls

535

6.45

2.21

172

Tackles

294

3.54

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Malawi vs Guinea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Malawi vs Guinea on 09 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Malawi vs Guinea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Malawi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Guinea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Malawi and Guinea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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