Malawi vs Burundi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 September

Malawi

L W L L L

4th place in Group L

2-3

05/09/2024 09:00

Burundi

W D D L L

3rd place in Group L

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Malawi vs Burundi on 05 September 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Malawi vs Burundi preview before placing your bet.

Malawi are currently 4th with 4 points after 6 matches.
Burundi sit 3rd with 4 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Malawi to win with probability 42%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2024-09-05

Malawi vs Burundi - Prediction & Odds

Malawi

Burundi

2024-09-05 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/09/2024

Group L	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	16	6	5	1	0	10	1	9
02 Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	2	10	7	3
03 Burundi	4	6	1	1	4	4	11	-7
04 Malawi	4	6	1	1	4	6	11	-5

Malawi Last 6 matches

10/06/2024 09:00

Equatorial Guinea 1 - 0 Malawi WCPAF

06/06/2024 09:00

Malawi 3 - 1 Sao Tome Principe WCPAF

26/03/2024 08:00

Malawi 1 - 2 Zambia INT FRL

23/03/2024 11:20

Malawi 0 - 4 Kenya INT FRL

21/11/2023 09:00

Malawi 0 - 1 Tunisia WCPAF

17/11/2023 11:59

Liberia 0 - 1 Malawi WCPAF

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Burundi

11/06/2024 15:00

Seychelles 1 - 3 Burundi WCPAF

07/06/2024 09:00

Kenya 1 - 1 Burundi WCPAF

25/03/2024 06:00

Botswana 0 - 0 Burundi INT FRL

22/03/2024 06:00

Madagascar 1 - 0 Burundi INT FRL

09/01/2024 11:00

Burundi 0 - 4 Algeria INT FRL

19/11/2023 09:00

Burundi 1 - 2 Gabon WCPAF

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Malawi

Burundi

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.49

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 78 matches

YesNo

27 (35%)51 (65%)

In last 78 matches

NoYes

23 (44%)29 (56%)

Malawi

Recent matches

Burundi

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Malawi

Burundi

Shots

Malawi

Total shots

8.20 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.89

Burundi

Total shots

7.22 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.00

Malawi Pass Burundi

Total passes

3912

Avg. 245 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

2093

Avg. 233 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Malawi

Played games

Burundi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.21

3.10

242

Corners

138

2.65

2.28

178

Throw-ins

180

3.46

0.62

Offsides

0.73

1.00

GK saves

1.40

Malawi

DISCIPLINARY

Burundi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.17

1.06

0.04

0.08

4.44

346

Fouls

257

4.94

2.21

172

Tackles

1.75

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Malawi vs Burundi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Malawi vs Burundi on 05 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Malawi vs Burundi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Malawi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burundi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Malawi and Burundi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More African Nations Cup Predictions

Find every upcoming African Nations Cup fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less