Malaga vs Burgos: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Malaga

W D L W L

19th place in Spanish Segunda Division

1 - 1

21/01/2023 11:15

Burgos

L W D L L

12th place in Spanish Segunda Division

Spanish Segunda Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Malaga vs Burgos on 21 January 2023 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Malaga vs Burgos preview before placing your bet.

Malaga are currently 19th with 44 points after 42 matches.
Burgos sit 12th with 54 points from 42 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Granada CF	75	42	22	9	11	55	30	25
02 Las Palmas	72	42	18	18	6	49	29	20
03 Levante	72	42	18	18	6	46	30	16
04 Alaves	71	42	19	14	9	47	33	14
05 Eibar	71	42	19	14	9	45	36	9
06 Albacete	67	42	17	16	9	58	47	11
07 Andorra CF	59	42	16	11	15	47	37	10
08 Real Oviedo	59	42	16	11	15	34	35	-1
09 FC Cartagena	58	42	16	10	16	47	49	-2
10 Tenerife	57	42	14	15	13	42	37	5
11 Racing Santander	54	42	14	12	16	39	40	-1
12 Burgos CF	54	42	13	15	14	33	35	-2
13 Real Zaragoza	53	42	12	17	13	40	39	1
14 Leganes	53	42	14	11	17	37	42	-5
15 SD Huesca	52	42	11	19	12	36	36	0
16 Mirandes	52	42	13	13	16	48	54	-6
17 Sporting Gijon	50	42	11	17	14	43	48	-5
18 Villarreal B	50	42	13	11	18	49	55	-6
19 Malaga	44	42	10	14	18	37	44	-7
20 Ponferradina	44	42	9	17	16	40	53	-13
21 Ibiza Eivissa	34	42	7	13	22	33	66	-33
22 CD Lugo	31	42	6	13	23	27	57	-30

Malaga Last 6 matches

31/07/2026 00:00

Malaga 2 - 2 Al-Ittihad International Club Friendly

26/07/2026 00:00

Malaga 3 - 3 Leicester City International Club Friendly

21/06/2026 02:30

Almeria 1 - 2 Malaga Spanish La Liga 2

15/06/2026 02:00

Malaga 0 - 0 Almeria Spanish La Liga 2

11/06/2026 02:00

Malaga 1 - 1 Las Palmas Spanish La Liga 2

08/06/2026 02:00

Las Palmas 0 - 1 Malaga Spanish La Liga 2

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Last 6 matches Burgos

02/08/2026 00:00

Burgos 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao International Club Friendly

30/07/2026 00:30

Unionistas de Salamanca 0 - 1 Burgos International Club Friendly

25/07/2026 23:30

Burgos 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao B International Club Friendly

19/07/2026 00:00

Burgos 2 - 0 Real Sociedad B International Club Friendly

31/05/2026 23:30

Burgos 1 - 0 Andorra FC Spanish La Liga 2

24/05/2026 23:30

Cultural Leonesa 0 - 2 Burgos Spanish La Liga 2

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish Segunda Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

189

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

164

Avg. per game

0.57

Conceded

149

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 299 matches

YesNo

137 (46%)162 (54%)

In last 299 matches

NoYes

126 (44%)160 (56%)

Malaga

Recent matches

Burgos

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Malaga

Burgos

Shots

Malaga

Total shots

10.58 avg / game

Blocked

355 total

Avg. 3.09

Burgos

Total shots

10.09 avg / game

Blocked

366 total

Avg. 2.44

Malaga Pass Burgos

Total passes

71401

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

77528

Avg. 369 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Malaga

299

Played games

Burgos

286

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

101

Clean sheets

116

0.41

4.30

1287

Corners

1180

4.13

8.18

2446

Throw-ins

2601

9.09

1.30

388

Offsides

421

1.47

2.13

637

GK saves

621

2.17

Malaga

DISCIPLINARY

Burgos

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.18

653

597

2.09

0.12

0.06

9.52

2846

Fouls

2582

9.03

7.14

2135

Tackles

2668

9.33

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Malaga vs Burgos Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Malaga vs Burgos on 21 January 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish Segunda Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Malaga vs Burgos Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Malaga's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burgos's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish Segunda Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish Segunda Division standings and the Spanish Segunda Division form table to understand exactly where Malaga and Burgos sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish Segunda Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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