Madagascar vs Gambia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Madagascar

D L D W L

4th place in Group A

1-1

11/10/2024 10:00

Gambia

L D L W L

3rd place in Group A

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Madagascar vs Gambia on 11 October 2024 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Madagascar vs Gambia preview before placing your bet.

Madagascar are currently 4th with 2 points after 6 matches.
Gambia sit 3rd with 8 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 29%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2024-10-11

Madagascar vs Gambia - Prediction & Odds

Madagascar

Gambia

2024-10-11 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2024

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Comoros	12	6	3	3	0	7	4	3
02 Tunisia	10	6	3	1	2	7	6	1
03 Gambia	8	6	2	2	2	6	6	0
04 Madagascar	2	6	0	2	4	4	8	-4

Madagascar Last 6 matches

09/09/2024 12:00

Madagascar 1 - 1 Comoros CAF NC

05/09/2024 15:00

Tunisia 1 - 0 Madagascar CAF NC

11/06/2024 09:00

Madagascar 0 - 0 Mali WCPAF

07/06/2024 11:59

Madagascar 2 - 1 Comoros WCPAF

25/03/2024 09:00

Madagascar 0 - 2 Rwanda INT FRL

22/03/2024 06:00

Madagascar 1 - 0 Burundi INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Gambia

08/09/2024 12:00

Gambia 1 - 2 Tunisia CAF NC

04/09/2024 12:00

Comoros 1 - 1 Gambia CAF NC

11/06/2024 15:00

Gabon 3 - 2 Gambia WCPAF

08/06/2024 11:59

Gambia 5 - 1 Seychelles WCPAF

23/01/2024 13:00

Gambia 2 - 3 Cameroon CAF NC

19/01/2024 16:00

Guinea 1 - 0 Gambia CAF NC

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Madagascar

Gambia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.55

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 75 matches

YesNo

31 (41%)44 (59%)

In last 75 matches

NoYes

31 (50%)31 (50%)

Madagascar

Recent matches

Gambia

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Madagascar

Gambia

Shots

Madagascar

Total shots

9.14 avg / game

Blocked

37 total

Avg. 3.36

Gambia

Total shots

9.11 avg / game

Blocked

24 total

Avg. 1.71

Madagascar Pass Gambia

Total passes

5847

Avg. 325 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

6236

Avg. 312 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Madagascar

Played games

Gambia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.29

2.32

174

Corners

144

2.32

5.39

404

Throw-ins

296

4.77

0.40

Offsides

0.69

1.31

GK saves

1.31

Madagascar

DISCIPLINARY

Gambia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.24

1.15

0.08

0.03

5.21

391

Fouls

388

6.26

2.64

198

Tackles

225

3.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Madagascar vs Gambia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Madagascar vs Gambia on 11 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Madagascar vs Gambia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Madagascar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gambia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Madagascar and Gambia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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