Macara vs Independiente del Valle: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 July

Macara

W W D W D

10th place in League

1-2

11/07/2025 20:00

Independiente del Valle

W W W W D

1st place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Macara vs Independiente del Valle on 11 July 2025 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Macara vs Independiente del Valle preview before placing your bet.

Macara are currently 10th with 38 points after 30 matches.
Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 64 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente del Valle to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history favors Independiente del Valle, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Macara have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2025-07-11

Macara vs Independiente del Valle - Prediction & Odds

Macara

Independiente del Valle

2025-07-11 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/07/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

16/03/2025 14:00

Independiente del Valle

1 - 1

Macara

ECU D1

24/11/2024 16:30

Independiente del Valle

7 - 0

Macara

ECU D1

25/05/2024 21:00

Macara

0 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

24/09/2022 20:00

Independiente del Valle

1 - 0

Macara

ECU D1

09/05/2022 20:00

Macara

0 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

01/08/2021 17:30

Independiente del Valle

4 - 0

Macara

ECU D1

Macara

Draw

17%

Independiente del Valle

83%

Macara Last 6 matches

06/07/2025 14:00

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 1 - 4 Macara ECU D1

29/06/2025 19:00

Macara 1 - 1 Club Sport Emelec ECU D1

21/06/2025 20:00

Macara 1 - 0 Vinotinto de Ecuador ECU D1

16/06/2025 20:00

Orense SC 1 - 0 Macara ECU D1

30/05/2025 20:00

Macara 2 - 2 Manta FC ECU D1

25/05/2025 14:00

Libertad FC 0 - 1 Macara ECU D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Independiente del Valle

05/07/2025 20:00

Independiente del Valle 1 - 1 Barcelona SC(ECU) ECU D1

29/06/2025 16:30

Universidad Catolica 0 - 3 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

22/06/2025 13:00

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

14/06/2025 15:00

Independiente del Valle 1 - 1 Libertad FC ECU D1

31/05/2025 17:30

Delfin SC 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

27/05/2025 20:30

Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Barcelona SC(ECU) CON CLA

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Macara

221

Independiente del Valle

300

Goals

Scored

137

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

131

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

254

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 221 matches

YesNo

106 (48%)115 (52%)

In last 221 matches

NoYes

171 (57%)129 (43%)

Macara

Recent matches

Independiente del Valle

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Macara

Independiente del Valle

Shots

Macara

Total shots

10.90 avg / game

Blocked

185 total

Avg. 3.08

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

12.71 avg / game

Blocked

363 total

Avg. 3.49

Macara Pass Independiente del Valle

Total passes

29817

Avg. 307 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

69821

Avg. 426 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Macara

17885

Avg. 80.93 / game

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

14272

Avg. 47.57 / game

OTHERS

Macara

221

Played games

Independiente del Valle

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

121

0.40

4.24

937

Corners

1563

5.21

4.37

966

Throw-ins

983

3.28

1.37

302

Offsides

339

1.13

2.14

472

GK saves

513

1.71

Macara

DISCIPLINARY

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.52

558

648

2.16

0.16

0.14

10.92

2413

Fouls

2782

9.27

5.19

1147

Tackles

1682

5.61

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/18

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

ECU

How We Build the Macara vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Macara vs Independiente del Valle on 11 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Macara vs Independiente del Valle Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Macara's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente del Valle's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Macara and Independiente del Valle sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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