Luzern vs Basel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 March

Luzern

L W D L W

4th place in League

1-1

09/03/2025 11:30

Basel

L W W W W

1st place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Luzern vs Basel on 09 March 2025 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Luzern vs Basel preview before placing your bet.

Luzern are currently 4th with 51 points after 33 matches.
Basel sit 1st with 61 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Basel to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Basel, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Luzern have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2025-03-09

Luzern vs Basel - Prediction & Odds

Luzern

Basel

2025-03-09 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/03/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Basel	61	33	18	7	8	72	32	40
02 Servette	55	33	15	10	8	52	43	9
03 Young Boys	53	33	15	8	10	49	42	7
04 Luzern	51	33	14	9	10	61	51	10
05 Lugano	49	33	14	7	12	48	47	1
06 Lausanne Sports	47	33	13	8	12	52	44	8
07 St. Gallen	47	33	12	11	10	46	43	3
08 FC Zurich	47	33	13	8	12	44	48	-4
09 FC Sion	36	33	9	9	15	41	51	-10
10 Grasshopper	33	33	7	12	14	35	46	-11
11 Yverdon	33	33	8	9	16	33	57	-24
12 Winterthur	30	33	8	6	19	32	61	-29

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Basel	73	5	4	0	1	19	11	8
02 Servette	63	5	2	2	1	12	12	0
03 Young Boys	61	5	2	2	1	11	7	4
04 Lugano	54	5	1	2	2	7	11	-4
05 Lausanne Sports	53	5	1	3	1	10	10	0
06 Luzern	52	5	0	1	4	5	13	-8

Relegation Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Zurich	53	5	2	0	3	12	9	3
02 St. Gallen	52	5	1	2	2	6	10	-4
03 FC Sion	44	5	2	2	1	6	6	0
04 Winterthur	40	5	3	1	1	11	7	4
05 Grasshopper	39	5	2	0	3	8	7	1
06 Yverdon	39	5	1	3	1	7	11	-4

Head To Head

06/02/2025 15:30

Basel

2 - 1

Luzern

SUI SL

29/09/2024 10:30

Luzern

1 - 0

Basel

SUI SL

05/05/2024 08:15

Basel

1 - 1

Luzern

SUI SL

21/04/2024 10:30

Luzern

1 - 1

Basel

SUI SL

17/12/2023 11:30

Luzern

0 - 1

Basel

SUI SL

28/09/2023 14:30

Basel

1 - 1

Luzern

SUI SL

Luzern

17%

Draw

50%

Basel

33%

Luzern Last 6 matches

23/02/2025 09:15

Luzern 2 - 1 FC Sion SUI SL

15/02/2025 13:00

Lugano 2 - 0 Luzern SUI SL

09/02/2025 11:30

Luzern 3 - 2 Winterthur SUI SL

06/02/2025 15:30

Basel 2 - 1 Luzern SUI SL

02/02/2025 09:15

Luzern 2 - 0 St. Gallen SUI SL

26/01/2025 11:30

Luzern 3 - 1 FC Zurich SUI SL

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Basel

01/03/2025 13:00

Basel 2 - 0 FC Sion SUI SL

26/02/2025 14:30

Etoile Carouge 1 - 3 Basel SUI Cup

22/02/2025 15:30

St. Gallen 2 - 2 Basel SUI SL

16/02/2025 11:30

Basel 1 - 1 Lausanne Sports SUI SL

09/02/2025 09:15

Servette 2 - 1 Basel SUI SL

06/02/2025 15:30

Basel 2 - 1 Luzern SUI SL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

215

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

213

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

240

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

155 (52%)145 (48%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

164 (55%)136 (45%)

Luzern

Recent matches

Basel

Under /Over

(96%)43 2(4%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(73%)33 12(27%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Luzern

Basel

Shots

Luzern

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

499 total

Avg. 3.78

Basel

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

552 total

Avg. 3.63

Luzern Pass Basel

Total passes

73419

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

100023

Avg. 447 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Luzern

300

Played games

Basel

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.27

5.19

1557

Corners

1452

4.84

6.90

2071

Throw-ins

2371

7.90

1.47

440

Offsides

438

1.46

2.45

736

GK saves

784

2.61

Luzern

DISCIPLINARY

Basel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.93

578

542

1.81

0.10

0.10

9.05

2716

Fouls

2774

9.25

9.02

2706

Tackles

2977

9.92

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Luzern vs Basel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Luzern vs Basel on 09 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Luzern vs Basel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Luzern's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Basel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Luzern and Basel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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