Lugano vs Thun: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 April

Lugano

W L D D W

3rd place in League

1-0

04/04/2026 12:00

Thun

D W W L L

1st place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 04 April 2026 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lugano vs Thun preview before placing your bet.

Lugano are currently 3rd with 57 points after 33 matches.
Thun sit 1st with 74 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Thun to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Thun, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Lugano have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2026-04-04

Lugano vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Lugano

Thun

2026-04-04 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/04/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	74	33	24	2	7	75	37	38
02 St. Gallen	60	33	17	9	7	64	40	24
03 Lugano	57	33	16	9	8	50	38	12
04 Basel	53	33	15	8	10	51	45	6
05 FC Sion	52	33	13	13	7	51	35	16
06 Young Boys	48	33	13	9	11	65	60	5
07 Luzern	40	33	10	10	13	64	61	3
08 Servette	40	33	9	13	11	57	57	0
09 Lausanne Sports	39	33	10	9	14	47	57	-10
10 FC Zurich	34	33	10	4	19	45	63	-18
11 Grasshopper	27	33	6	9	18	40	65	-25
12 Winterthur	19	33	4	7	22	35	86	-51

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	75	5	0	1	4	5	15	-10
02 St. Gallen	70	5	3	1	1	8	7	1
03 Lugano	67	5	3	1	1	9	4	5
04 FC Sion	63	5	3	2	0	12	5	7
05 Basel	56	5	1	0	4	4	13	-9
06 Young Boys	55	5	2	1	2	15	9	6

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Servette	53	5	4	1	0	14	6	8
02 Luzern	53	5	4	1	0	12	5	7
03 Lausanne Sports	42	5	1	0	4	6	10	-4
04 FC Zurich	38	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5
05 Grasshopper	33	5	2	0	3	8	9	-1
06 Winterthur	23	5	1	1	3	9	14	-5

Head To Head

22/11/2025 15:30

Thun

0 - 1

Lugano

SUI SL

27/07/2025 10:00

Lugano

1 - 2

Thun

SUI SL

11/07/2025 08:00

Lugano

2 - 3

Thun

INT CF

10/02/2022 13:30

Thun

3 - 4

Lugano

SUI Cup

15/07/2020 14:30

Lugano

1 - 1

Thun

SUI SL

09/02/2020 11:00

Thun

3 - 2

Lugano

SUI SL

Lugano

33%

Draw

17%

Thun

50%

Lugano Last 6 matches

25/03/2026 06:00

Lugano 1 - 3 Taverne INT CF

22/03/2026 11:30

Young Boys 1 - 1 Lugano SUI SL

17/03/2026 14:00

St. Gallen 1 - 1 Lugano SUI SL

07/03/2026 15:30

Lugano 1 - 3 Luzern SUI SL

04/03/2026 15:30

Lugano 2 - 1 FC Sion SUI SL

01/03/2026 11:30

Grasshopper 1 - 0 Lugano SUI SL

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Thun

21/03/2026 13:00

FC Zurich 2 - 1 Thun SUI SL

14/03/2026 13:00

Thun 5 - 1 Grasshopper SUI SL

08/03/2026 11:30

Young Boys 1 - 2 Thun SUI SL

05/03/2026 15:30

Thun 2 - 2 St. Gallen SUI SL

28/02/2026 13:00

Thun 2 - 1 Luzern SUI SL

25/02/2026 14:00

Winterthur 0 - 3 Thun SUI SL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Played games

Goals

Scored

264

Avg. per game

1.62

Conceded

216

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

319

Avg. per game

2.08

Conceded

201

Avg. per game

1.31

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 163 home matches

YesNo

136 (83%)27 (17%)

In last 163 home matches

NoYes

132 (86%)21 (14%)

Lugano

Recent matches

Thun

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)41 4(9%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lugano

Thun

Shots

Lugano

Total shots

12.60 avg / game

Blocked

245 total

Avg. 3.55

Thun

Total shots

13.42 avg / game

Blocked

101 total

Avg. 4.59

Lugano Pass Thun

Total passes

49758

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

11621

Avg. 323 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lugano

163

Played games

Thun

153

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.27

4.20

684

Corners

777

5.08

6.78

1105

Throw-ins

777

5.08

1.59

259

Offsides

237

1.55

2.31

376

GK saves

294

1.92

Lugano

DISCIPLINARY

Thun

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.04

333

275

1.80

0.07

0.04

9.15

1491

Fouls

1496

9.78

8.31

1354

Tackles

389

2.54

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lugano vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 04 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lugano vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lugano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Lugano and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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