Lugano vs Thun: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 July

Lugano
WDDLL
No standing data
1
2-3
FT
11/07/2025 08:00
Thun
DLWLD
No standing data
International Club Friendly
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 11 July 2025 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lugano vs Thun preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Lugano to win with probability 55%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Lugano and Thun have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
08:00

2025-07-11

Lugano vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Lugano
Lugano
Thun
Thun
2025-07-11 08:00
55
21
24
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.50
1.68
FT
2-3 1-3
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 11/07/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Lugano and Thun in the International Club Friendly football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
10/02/2022 13:30
Thun Thun
3 - 4
Lugano Lugano
SUI Cup
15/07/2020 14:30
Lugano Lugano
1 - 1
Thun Thun
SUI SL
09/02/2020 11:00
Thun Thun
3 - 2
Lugano Lugano
SUI SL
24/11/2019 11:00
Thun Thun
0 - 3
Lugano Lugano
SUI SL
28/07/2019 10:00
Lugano Lugano
0 - 0
Thun Thun
SUI SL
11/05/2019 13:00
Thun Thun
1 - 0
Lugano Lugano
SUI SL
Lugano
2
33%
Draw
2
33%
Thun
2
33%
Lugano Lugano Last 6 matches
05/07/2025 05:15
Lugano 2 - 1 FC Rapperswil-Jona INT CF
24/05/2025 12:00
Lugano 1 - 1 Young Boys SUI SL
18/05/2025 10:30
Lausanne Sports 1 - 1 Lugano SUI SL
15/05/2025 14:30
Servette 4 - 1 Lugano SUI SL
10/05/2025 14:30
Lugano 2 - 5 Basel SUI SL
04/05/2025 10:30
Luzern 0 - 2 Lugano SUI SL
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Thun Thun
04/07/2025 10:30
FC Sion 1 - 1 Thun INT CF
21/06/2025 09:00
Thun 3 - 4 Kriens INT CF
23/05/2025 14:15
Thun 1 - 0 Etoile Carouge SUI CL
16/05/2025 14:15
Bellinzona 3 - 1 Thun SUI CL
11/05/2025 08:15
Vaduz 3 - 3 Thun SUI CL
02/05/2025 14:15
Thun 2 - 1 Aarau SUI CL
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues International Club Fri...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Lugano
Lugano
300
 Thun
Thun
288
Goals
Scored
227
Avg. per game
0.76
Conceded
184
Avg. per game
0.61
Scored
237
Avg. per game
0.82
Conceded
165
Avg. per game
0.57
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 300 matches
YesNo
152 (51%)148 (49%)
In last 300 matches
NoYes
159 (55%)129 (45%)
Lugano

Lugano

Recent matches

Thun

Thun

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Lugano Lugano
Thun Thun
Shots
Lugano
Lugano
Total shots
12.55 avg / game
Blocked
488 total
Avg. 3.39
Thun
Thun
Total shots
12.77 avg / game
Blocked
213 total
Avg. 4.73
Lugano Lugano Pass Thun Thun
Total passes
98757
Avg. 470 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
55%
Total passes
23346
Avg. 329 / game
Accurate
74%
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Lugano
Lugano
27813
Avg. 92.71 / game
 Thun
Thun
24450
Avg. 84.90 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Lugano
Lugano
15907
Avg. 53.02 / game
 Thun
Thun
15876
Avg. 55.13 / game
OTHERS
Lugano
Lugano
300
Played games
Thun
Thun
288
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.27
80
Clean sheets
73
0.25
4.14
1241
Corners
1412
4.90
6.96
2088
Throw-ins
1594
5.53
1.57
470
Offsides
528
1.83
2.57
771
GK saves
624
2.17
Lugano
Lugano
DISCIPLINARY
Thun
Thun
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.12
635
Yellow card
557
1.93
0.10
29
Red card
16
0.06
9.32
2795
Fouls
3093
10.74
9.25
2774
Tackles
803
2.79
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How We Build the Lugano vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 11 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this International Club Friendly fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lugano vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lugano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

International Club Friendly Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live International Club Friendly standings and the International Club Friendly form table to understand exactly where Lugano and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our International Club Friendly predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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