Lugano vs Basel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Lugano

W L D D W

3rd place in League

4-0

17/05/2026 10:30

Basel

W L W W D

4th place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lugano vs Basel on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lugano vs Basel preview before placing your bet.

Lugano are currently 3rd with 57 points after 33 matches.
Basel sit 4th with 53 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Lugano to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Lugano and Basel have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2026-05-17

Lugano vs Basel - Prediction & Odds

Lugano

Basel

2026-05-17 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	74	33	24	2	7	75	37	38
02 St. Gallen	60	33	17	9	7	64	40	24
03 Lugano	57	33	16	9	8	50	38	12
04 Basel	53	33	15	8	10	51	45	6
05 FC Sion	52	33	13	13	7	51	35	16
06 Young Boys	48	33	13	9	11	65	60	5
07 Luzern	40	33	10	10	13	64	61	3
08 Servette	40	33	9	13	11	57	57	0
09 Lausanne Sports	39	33	10	9	14	47	57	-10
10 FC Zurich	34	33	10	4	19	45	63	-18
11 Grasshopper	27	33	6	9	18	40	65	-25
12 Winterthur	19	33	4	7	22	35	86	-51

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	75	5	0	1	4	5	15	-10
02 St. Gallen	70	5	3	1	1	8	7	1
03 Lugano	67	5	3	1	1	9	4	5
04 FC Sion	63	5	3	2	0	12	5	7
05 Basel	56	5	1	0	4	4	13	-9
06 Young Boys	55	5	2	1	2	15	9	6

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Servette	53	5	4	1	0	14	6	8
02 Luzern	53	5	4	1	0	12	5	7
03 Lausanne Sports	42	5	1	0	4	6	10	-4
04 FC Zurich	38	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5
05 Grasshopper	33	5	2	0	3	8	9	-1
06 Winterthur	23	5	1	1	3	9	14	-5

Head To Head

15/02/2026 11:30

Basel

1 - 1

Lugano

SUI SL

09/11/2025 09:00

Basel

0 - 1

Lugano

SUI SL

10/08/2025 10:30

Lugano

3 - 1

Basel

SUI SL

10/05/2025 14:30

Lugano

2 - 5

Basel

SUI SL

06/04/2025 10:30

Basel

2 - 0

Lugano

SUI SL

19/01/2025 11:30

Lugano

2 - 2

Basel

SUI SL

Lugano

33%

Draw

33%

Basel

33%

Lugano Last 6 matches

14/05/2026 10:30

FC Sion 2 - 2 Lugano SUI SL

10/05/2026 08:00

Lugano 1 - 2 St. Gallen SUI SL

03/05/2026 10:30

Lugano 1 - 0 Young Boys SUI SL

25/04/2026 14:30

Thun 0 - 1 Lugano SUI SL

11/04/2026 12:00

FC Zurich 0 - 1 Lugano SUI SL

04/04/2026 12:00

Lugano 1 - 0 Thun SUI SL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Basel

14/05/2026 10:30

Basel 1 - 3 St. Gallen SUI SL

10/05/2026 10:30

Young Boys 3 - 0 Basel SUI SL

02/05/2026 14:30

Basel 3 - 1 Thun SUI SL

26/04/2026 08:00

Basel 0 - 2 FC Sion SUI SL

18/04/2026 14:30

Thun 3 - 1 Basel SUI SL

04/04/2026 14:30

Basel 3 - 3 Young Boys SUI SL

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

240

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

152 (51%)148 (49%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

164 (55%)136 (45%)

Lugano

Recent matches

Basel

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lugano

Basel

Shots

Lugano

Total shots

12.55 avg / game

Blocked

488 total

Avg. 3.39

Basel

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

552 total

Avg. 3.63

Lugano Pass Basel

Total passes

98757

Avg. 470 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

100023

Avg. 447 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lugano

300

Played games

Basel

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.27

4.14

1241

Corners

1452

4.84

6.96

2088

Throw-ins

2371

7.90

1.57

470

Offsides

438

1.46

2.57

771

GK saves

784

2.61

Lugano

DISCIPLINARY

Basel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.12

635

542

1.81

0.10

0.10

9.32

2795

Fouls

2774

9.25

2774

Tackles

2977

9.92

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lugano vs Basel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lugano vs Basel on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lugano vs Basel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lugano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Basel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Lugano and Basel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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