Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 January

Lobos UPNFM

W D W D L

7th place in Apertura

1-1

25/01/2026 19:15

Marathon

W W D

1st place in Playoffs

Primera Division de Honduras

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon on 25 January 2026 (kick-off: 19:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon preview before placing your bet.

Lobos UPNFM are currently 7th with 26 points after 20 matches.
Marathon sit 1st with 10 points from 4 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marathon to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors Lobos UPNFM, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Marathon have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:15

2026-01-25

Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon - Prediction & Odds

Lobos UPNFM

Marathon

2026-01-25 19:15

STANDINGS UP TO 25/01/2026

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Marathon	10	4	3	1	0	10	3	7
02 CD Olimpia	10	4	3	1	0	5	1	4
03 Real Espana	4	4	1	1	2	4	3	1
04 Olancho FC	4	4	1	1	2	5	7	-2
05 Platense	2	4	0	2	2	4	9	-5
06 CD Motagua	2	4	0	2	2	2	7	-5

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CD Olimpia	44	20	13	5	2	45	27	18
02 Marathon	42	20	12	6	2	41	15	26
03 CD Motagua	35	20	10	5	5	39	32	7
04 Platense	29	20	8	5	7	34	20	14
05 Real Espana	29	20	8	5	7	29	22	7
06 Olancho FC	27	20	6	9	5	38	30	8
07 Lobos UPNFM	26	20	6	8	6	24	30	-6
08 Juticalpa	21	20	6	7	7	28	42	-14
09 Genesis	18	20	4	6	10	29	35	-6
10 CD Victoria	14	20	4	2	14	23	42	-19
11 CD Choloma	11	20	3	2	15	22	57	-35

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Espana	40	20	11	7	2	37	25	12
02 CD Motagua	39	20	11	6	3	36	17	19
03 CD Olimpia	38	20	11	5	4	35	17	18
04 Olancho FC	32	20	8	8	4	28	16	12
05 Marathon	27	20	7	6	7	23	19	4
06 Genesis	23	20	6	5	9	20	28	-8
07 CD Choloma	23	20	6	5	9	23	32	-9
08 Platense	21	20	5	6	9	26	29	-3
09 Lobos UPNFM	21	20	5	6	9	23	30	-7
10 Juticalpa	18	20	4	6	10	18	41	-23
11 CD Victoria	16	20	4	4	12	25	40	-15

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CD Motagua	7	4	2	1	1	6	4	2
02 Marathon	7	4	2	1	1	3	3	0
03 CD Olimpia	6	4	2	0	2	6	6	0
04 Genesis	5	4	1	2	1	6	5	1
05 Real Espana	4	4	1	1	2	6	6	0
06 Olancho FC	4	4	1	1	2	4	7	-3

Head To Head

04/12/2025 17:00

Marathon

2 - 0

Lobos UPNFM

HON Lig1

18/09/2025 19:15

Lobos UPNFM

2 - 2

Marathon

HON Lig1

03/05/2025 21:00

Lobos UPNFM

0 - 0

Marathon

HON Lig1

01/03/2025 17:00

Marathon

3 - 3

Lobos UPNFM

HON Lig1

26/10/2024 17:00

Marathon

1 - 2

Lobos UPNFM

HON Lig1

17/08/2024 19:15

Lobos UPNFM

2 - 0

Marathon

HON Lig1

Lobos UPNFM

33%

Draw

50%

Marathon

17%

Lobos UPNFM Last 6 matches

07/12/2025 17:00

Lobos UPNFM 0 - 0 Real Espana HON Lig1

04/12/2025 17:00

Marathon 2 - 0 Lobos UPNFM HON Lig1

27/11/2025 21:30

Lobos UPNFM 0 - 0 CD Motagua HON Lig1

22/11/2025 19:10

Lobos UPNFM 1 - 0 Juticalpa HON Lig1

08/11/2025 19:15

Olancho FC 1 - 1 Lobos UPNFM HON Lig1

25/10/2025 21:30

CD Victoria 0 - 1 Lobos UPNFM HON Lig1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Marathon

07/01/2026 21:00

CD Olimpia 1 - 0 Marathon HON Lig1

04/01/2026 18:30

Marathon 2 - 2 CD Olimpia HON Lig1

28/12/2025 17:00

Marathon 2 - 1 Olancho FC HON Lig1

21/12/2025 17:00

Platense 2 - 2 Marathon HON Lig1

18/12/2025 21:30

Marathon 3 - 0 Platense HON Lig1

11/12/2025 21:00

Olancho FC 0 - 3 Marathon HON Lig1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ho...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

141

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

189

Avg. per game

0.85

Scored

202

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

162

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 223 matches

YesNo

105 (47%)118 (53%)

In last 223 matches

NoYes

145 (53%)127 (47%)

Lobos UPNFM

Recent matches

Marathon

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lobos UPNFM

Marathon

Shots

Lobos UPNFM

Total shots

6.63 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Marathon

Total shots

8.61 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. 0.00

Lobos UPNFM Pass Marathon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

409

Avg. 409 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lobos UPNFM

223

Played games

Marathon

272

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.34

3.41

760

Corners

1276

4.69

0.00

Throw-ins

0.06

0.00

Offsides

0.01

0.24

GK saves

0.21

Lobos UPNFM

DISCIPLINARY

Marathon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

393

598

2.20

0.15

0.17

0.00

Fouls

0.14

0.00

Tackles

0.06

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Atletico Independiente

How We Build the Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon on 25 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Honduras fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lobos UPNFM's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marathon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Honduras Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Honduras standings and the Primera Division de Honduras form table to understand exactly where Lobos UPNFM and Marathon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Honduras predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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