Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Liverpool

W W W W D

1st place in Group A

0-1

Pen. 1-4

11/03/2025 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

W L W W W

15th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) on 11 March 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) preview before placing your bet.

Liverpool are currently 1st with 21 points after 8 matches.
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) sit 15th with 13 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Liverpool to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Liverpool, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Paris Saint Germain (PSG) have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2025-03-11

Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) - Prediction & Odds

Liverpool

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

2025-03-11 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	21	8	7	0	1	17	5	12
02 FC Barcelona	19	8	6	1	1	28	13	15
03 Arsenal	19	8	6	1	1	16	3	13
04 Inter Milan	19	8	6	1	1	11	1	10
05 Atletico Madrid	18	8	6	0	2	20	12	8
06 Bayer Leverkusen	16	8	5	1	2	15	7	8
07 Lille	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
08 Aston Villa	16	8	5	1	2	13	6	7
09 Atalanta	15	8	4	3	1	20	6	14
10 Borussia Dortmund	15	8	5	0	3	22	12	10
11 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	20	12	8
12 Bayern Munchen	15	8	5	0	3	20	12	8
13 AC Milan	15	8	5	0	3	14	11	3
14 PSV Eindhoven	14	8	4	2	2	16	12	4
15 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	13	8	4	1	3	14	9	5
16 Benfica	13	8	4	1	3	16	12	4
17 Monaco	13	8	4	1	3	13	13	0
18 Stade Brestois	13	8	4	1	3	10	11	-1
19 Feyenoord	13	8	4	1	3	18	21	-3
20 Juventus	12	8	3	3	2	9	7	2
21 Celtic FC	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
22 Manchester City	11	8	3	2	3	18	14	4
23 Sporting CP	11	8	3	2	3	13	12	1
24 Club Brugge	11	8	3	2	3	7	11	-4
25 Dinamo Zagreb	11	8	3	2	3	12	19	-7
26 VfB Stuttgart	10	8	3	1	4	13	17	-4
27 FC Shakhtar Donetsk	7	8	2	1	5	8	16	-8
28 Bologna	6	8	1	3	4	4	9	-5
29 Crvena Zvezda	6	8	2	0	6	13	22	-9
30 Sturm Graz	6	8	2	0	6	5	14	-9
31 Sparta Praha	4	8	1	1	6	7	21	-14
32 RB Leipzig	3	8	1	0	7	8	15	-7
33 Girona	3	8	1	0	7	5	13	-8
34 Red Bull Salzburg	3	8	1	0	7	5	27	-22
35 Slovan Bratislava	0	8	0	0	8	7	27	-20
36 Young Boys	0	8	0	0	8	3	24	-21

Head To Head

05/03/2025 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

0 - 1

Liverpool

UEFA CL

28/11/2018 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

2 - 1

Liverpool

UEFA CL

18/09/2018 15:00

Liverpool

3 - 2

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

UEFA CL

Liverpool

67%

Draw

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

33%

Liverpool Last 6 matches

08/03/2025 11:00

Liverpool 3 - 1 Southampton ENG PR

05/03/2025 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 0 - 1 Liverpool UEFA CL

26/02/2025 16:15

Liverpool 2 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

23/02/2025 12:30

Manchester City 0 - 2 Liverpool ENG PR

19/02/2025 15:30

Aston Villa 2 - 2 Liverpool ENG PR

16/02/2025 10:00

Liverpool 2 - 1 Wolves ENG PR

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

08/03/2025 12:00

Rennes 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

05/03/2025 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 0 - 1 Liverpool UEFA CL

01/03/2025 16:05

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 4 - 1 Lille FRA D1

26/02/2025 16:10

Stade Briochin 0 - 7 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRAC

23/02/2025 15:45

Lyon 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

19/02/2025 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 7 - 0 Stade Brestois UEFA CL

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Liverpool

300

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

300

Goals

Scored

364

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

171

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

209 (70%)91 (30%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

216 (72%)84 (28%)

Liverpool

Recent matches

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Liverpool

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Shots

Liverpool

Total shots

16.72 avg / game

Blocked

1268 total

Avg. 4.88

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Total shots

16.15 avg / game

Blocked

1013 total

Avg. 4.08

Liverpool Pass Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Total passes

158341

Avg. 563 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

183627

Avg. 668 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

63%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Liverpool

35321

Avg. 117.74 / game

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

18273

Avg. 60.91 / game

OTHERS

Liverpool

300

Played games

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

106

Clean sheets

106

0.35

6.31

1893

Corners

1722

5.74

18.41

5524

Throw-ins

4353

14.51

1.93

580

Offsides

531

1.77

2.57

771

GK saves

802

2.67

Liverpool

DISCIPLINARY

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.43

428

425

1.42

0.05

0.08

10.48

3144

Fouls

2782

9.27

13.14

3942

Tackles

4066

13.55

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

08/23

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

09/05

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Monaco

FRA

How We Build the Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) on 11 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Liverpool's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Paris Saint Germain (PSG)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Liverpool and Paris Saint Germain (PSG) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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