Liverpool vs Arsenal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Liverpool

W W L D L

1st place in English Premier League

2-2

11/05/2025 11:30

Arsenal

W D L D W

2nd place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Liverpool vs Arsenal on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Liverpool vs Arsenal preview before placing your bet.

Liverpool are currently 1st with 84 points after 38 matches.
Arsenal sit 2nd with 74 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Liverpool to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Liverpool, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Arsenal have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2025-05-11

Liverpool vs Arsenal - Prediction & Odds

Liverpool

Arsenal

2025-05-11 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

27/10/2024 12:30

Arsenal

2 - 2

Liverpool

ENG PR

31/07/2024 19:40

Liverpool

2 - 1

Arsenal

INT CF

04/02/2024 12:30

Arsenal

3 - 1

Liverpool

ENG PR

07/01/2024 12:30

Arsenal

0 - 2

Liverpool

ENG FAC

23/12/2023 13:30

Liverpool

1 - 1

Arsenal

ENG PR

09/04/2023 11:30

Liverpool

2 - 2

Arsenal

ENG PR

Liverpool

33%

Draw

50%

Arsenal

17%

Liverpool Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 11:30

Liverpool 5 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

20/04/2025 11:30

Leicester City 0 - 1 Liverpool ENG PR

13/04/2025 09:00

Liverpool 2 - 1 West Ham United ENG PR

06/04/2025 09:00

Fulham 3 - 2 Liverpool ENG PR

02/04/2025 15:00

Liverpool 1 - 0 Everton ENG PR

16/03/2025 12:30

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Liverpool ENG LC

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Arsenal

03/05/2025 12:30

Arsenal 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

29/04/2025 15:00

Arsenal 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL

23/04/2025 15:00

Arsenal 2 - 2 Crystal Palace ENG PR

20/04/2025 09:00

Ipswich Town 0 - 4 Arsenal ENG PR

16/04/2025 15:00

Real Madrid 1 - 2 Arsenal UEFA CL

12/04/2025 12:30

Arsenal 1 - 1 Brentford ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Liverpool

Arsenal

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.16

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

15 (79%)4 (21%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

10 (53%)9 (47%)

Liverpool

Recent matches

Arsenal

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

/Yes

(63%)12 7(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Liverpool

Arsenal

Shots

Liverpool

Total shots

16.58 avg / game

Blocked

77 total

Avg. 4.53

Arsenal

Total shots

16.16 avg / game

Blocked

71 total

Avg. 5.07

Liverpool Pass Arsenal

Total passes

10294

Avg. 542 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

9443

Avg. 497 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Liverpool

Played games

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.37

6.47

123

Corners

141

7.42

18.21

346

Throw-ins

293

15.42

1.79

Offsides

2.32

GK saves

1.68

Liverpool

DISCIPLINARY

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.68

1.68

0.11

0.11

11.47

218

Fouls

183

9.63

17.95

341

Tackles

271

14.26

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Liverpool vs Arsenal on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Liverpool vs Arsenal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Liverpool's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arsenal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Liverpool and Arsenal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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