Lithuania vs Poland: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 October

Lithuania

L D L D D

5th place in Group G

0-2

12/10/2025 14:45

Poland

W D L W W

2nd place in Group G

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lithuania vs Poland on 12 October 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lithuania vs Poland preview before placing your bet.

Lithuania are currently 5th with 3 points after 8 matches.
Poland sit 2nd with 17 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Poland to win with probability 68%.
Head-to-head history favors Poland, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Lithuania have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-10-12

Lithuania vs Poland - Prediction & Odds

Lithuania

Poland

2025-10-12 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 12/10/2025

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Netherlands	20	8	6	2	0	27	4	23
02 Poland	17	8	5	2	1	14	7	7
03 Finland	10	8	3	1	4	8	14	-6
04 Malta	5	8	1	2	5	4	19	-15
05 Lithuania	3	8	0	3	5	6	15	-9

Head To Head

21/03/2025 15:45

Poland

1 - 0

Lithuania

WCPEU

12/06/2018 11:59

Poland

4 - 0

Lithuania

INT FRL

06/06/2016 11:59

Poland

0 - 0

Lithuania

INT FRL

06/06/2014 11:30

Poland

2 - 1

Lithuania

INT FRL

25/03/2011 15:30

Lithuania

2 - 0

Poland

INT CF

07/02/2009 15:20

Lithuania

1 - 1

Poland

INT CF

Lithuania

17%

Draw

33%

Poland

50%

Lithuania Last 6 matches

07/09/2025 12:00

Lithuania 2 - 3 Netherlands WCPEU

04/09/2025 12:00

Lithuania 1 - 1 Malta WCPEU

10/06/2025 13:00

Denmark 5 - 0 Lithuania INT FRL

07/06/2025 12:00

Malta 0 - 0 Lithuania WCPEU

24/03/2025 13:00

Lithuania 2 - 2 Finland WCPEU

21/03/2025 15:45

Poland 1 - 0 Lithuania WCPEU

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Poland

07/09/2025 14:45

Poland 3 - 1 Finland WCPEU

04/09/2025 14:45

Netherlands 1 - 1 Poland WCPEU

10/06/2025 14:45

Finland 2 - 1 Poland WCPEU

06/06/2025 14:45

Poland 2 - 0 Moldova INT FRL

24/03/2025 15:45

Poland 2 - 0 Malta WCPEU

21/03/2025 15:45

Poland 1 - 0 Lithuania WCPEU

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues FIFA World Cup qualifi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Lithuania

Poland

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.83

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 72 matches

YesNo

20 (28%)52 (72%)

In last 72 matches

NoYes

39 (48%)43 (52%)

Lithuania

Recent matches

Poland

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lithuania

Poland

Shots

Lithuania

Total shots

9.22 avg / game

Blocked

92 total

Avg. 2.30

Poland

Total shots

12.67 avg / game

Blocked

219 total

Avg. 3.91

Lithuania Pass Poland

Total passes

17529

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

26919

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lithuania

Played games

Poland

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.15

Clean sheets

0.35

2.76

199

Corners

356

4.34

11.63

837

Throw-ins

1063

12.96

1.07

Offsides

1.20

2.24

161

GK saves

164

2.00

Lithuania

DISCIPLINARY

Poland

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.01

145

127

1.55

0.07

0.02

10.03

722

Fouls

867

10.57

8.11

584

Tackles

761

9.28

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Bosnia and Herzegovina

How We Build the Lithuania vs Poland Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lithuania vs Poland on 12 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lithuania vs Poland Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lithuania's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Poland's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) standings and the FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) form table to understand exactly where Lithuania and Poland sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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