Lille vs Marseille Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – December 05

Lille

W D W D W

3rd place in France Ligue 1

1-0

05/12/2025 16:00

Marseille

W L D L W

5th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lille vs Marseille on December 05, 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lille vs Marseille preview before placing for you.

Lille are currently 3rd with 61 points after 34 matches.
Marseille sit 5th with 59 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Lille to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history favors Lille, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Marseille have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2025-12-05

Lille vs Marseille - Prediction & Odds

Lille

Marseille

2025-12-05 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/12/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	24	4	6	74	29	45
02 Lens	70	34	22	4	8	66	35	31
03 Lille	61	34	18	7	9	52	37	15
04 Lyon	60	34	18	6	10	53	40	13
05 Marseille	59	34	18	5	11	63	45	18
06 Rennes	59	34	17	8	9	59	50	9
07 Monaco	54	34	16	6	12	60	54	6
08 Strasbourg	53	34	15	8	11	58	47	11
09 Lorient	45	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3
10 Toulouse	44	33	12	8	13	47	46	1
11 Paris FC	44	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3
12 Stade Brestois	39	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12
13 Angers	36	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19
14 Le Havre	35	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12
15 AJ Auxerre	34	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10
16 Nice	32	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23
17 Nantes	23	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23
18 Metz	17	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44

Head To Head

04/05/2025 14:45

Lille

1 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

14/01/2025 16:10

Marseille

1 - 1

Lille

FRAC

14/12/2024 12:00

Marseille

1 - 1

Lille

FRA D1

05/04/2024 15:00

Lille

3 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

04/11/2023 16:00

Marseille

0 - 0

Lille

FRA D1

20/05/2023 15:00

Lille

2 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

Lille

33%

Draw

67%

Marseille

Lille Last 6 matches

30/11/2025 12:15

Le Havre 0 - 1 Lille FRA D1

27/11/2025 13:45

Lille 4 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb UEFA EL

23/11/2025 15:45

Lille 4 - 2 Paris FC FRA D1

09/11/2025 12:15

Strasbourg 2 - 0 Lille FRA D1

06/11/2025 13:45

Crvena Zvezda 1 - 0 Lille UEFA EL

02/11/2025 12:15

Lille 1 - 0 Angers FRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Marseille

29/11/2025 16:05

Marseille 2 - 2 Toulouse FRA D1

25/11/2025 16:00

Marseille 2 - 1 Newcastle United UEFA CL

21/11/2025 15:45

Nice 1 - 5 Marseille FRA D1

08/11/2025 12:00

Marseille 3 - 0 Stade Brestois FRA D1

05/11/2025 16:00

Marseille 0 - 1 Atalanta UEFA CL

01/11/2025 16:05

AJ Auxerre 0 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

222

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

147

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored

231

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

152

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

159 (53%)141 (47%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

161 (54%)139 (46%)

Lille

Recent matches

Marseille

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lille

Marseille

Shots

Lille

Total shots

12.80 avg / game

Blocked

814 total

Avg. 3.48

Marseille

Total shots

13.24 avg / game

Blocked

795 total

Avg. 3.53

Lille Pass Marseille

Total passes

132261

Avg. 513 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

138658

Avg. 542 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lille

300

Played games

Marseille

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

107

Clean sheets

0.27

4.88

1463

Corners

1619

5.40

15.72

4717

Throw-ins

4442

14.81

1.52

455

Offsides

471

1.57

2.31

692

GK saves

686

2.29

Lille

DISCIPLINARY

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.02

606

549

1.83

0.08

0.12

10.52

3156

Fouls

3122

10.41

13.07

3920

Tackles

3856

12.85

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lille vs Marseille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lille vs Marseille on 05 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lille vs Marseille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marseille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Lille and Marseille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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