Liberia vs Malawi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 November

Liberia

L L L L D

3rd place in Group H

0-1

17/11/2023 11:59

Malawi

D D D W W

4th place in Group H

FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Liberia vs Malawi on 17 November 2023 (kick-off: 11:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Liberia vs Malawi preview before placing your bet.

Liberia are currently 3rd with 15 points after 10 matches.
Malawi sit 4th with 13 points from 10 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Liberia to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Liberia, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Malawi have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:59

2023-11-17

Liberia vs Malawi - Prediction & Odds

Liberia

Malawi

2023-11-17 11:59

STANDINGS UP TO 17/11/2023

Group H	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tunisia	28	10	9	1	0	22	0	22
02 Namibia	15	10	4	3	3	13	10	3
03 Liberia	15	10	4	3	3	13	11	2
04 Malawi	13	10	4	1	5	11	10	1
05 Equatorial Guinea	11	10	3	2	5	8	15	-7
06 Sao Tome and Principe	3	10	1	0	9	5	26	-21

Head To Head

04/09/2012 14:00

Liberia

1 - 0

Malawi

INT CF

Liberia

100%

Draw

Malawi

Liberia Last 6 matches

17/10/2023 15:00

Morocco 3 - 0 Liberia CAF NC

14/10/2023 15:10

Liberia 2 - 3 Libya INT FRL

12/09/2023 11:59

Ghana 3 - 1 Liberia INT FRL

28/03/2023 11:59

Liberia 1 - 2 South Africa CAF NC

24/03/2023 11:59

South Africa 2 - 2 Liberia CAF NC

27/09/2022 14:00

Egypt 3 - 0 Liberia INT FRL

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Malawi

09/09/2023 09:00

Malawi 2 - 2 Guinea CAF NC

16/07/2023 09:00

Malawi 0 - 0 South Africa SACC

14/07/2023 09:00

Malawi 1 - 1 Lesotho SACC

11/07/2023 09:00

Malawi 2 - 0 Comoros SACC

09/07/2023 11:59

Malawi 2 - 0 Seychelles SACC

06/07/2023 11:59

Zambia 0 - 1 Malawi SACC

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues FIFA World Cup qualifi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Liberia

Malawi

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored

Avg. per game

0.49

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 55 matches

YesNo

22 (40%)33 (60%)

In last 55 matches

NoYes

27 (35%)51 (65%)

Liberia

Recent matches

Malawi

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Liberia

Malawi

Shots

Liberia

Total shots

7.53 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 2.00

Malawi

Total shots

8.20 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.89

Liberia Pass Malawi

Total passes

2668

Avg. 243 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

3912

Avg. 245 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Liberia

Played games

Malawi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.37

2.35

129

Corners

242

3.10

2.91

160

Throw-ins

178

2.28

0.60

Offsides

0.62

0.75

GK saves

1.00

Liberia

DISCIPLINARY

Malawi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.15

1.17

0.04

0.04

4.05

223

Fouls

346

4.44

2.16

119

Tackles

172

2.21

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Liberia vs Malawi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Liberia vs Malawi on 17 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Liberia vs Malawi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Liberia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malawi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) standings and the FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) form table to understand exactly where Liberia and Malawi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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