Lesotho vs Zambia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 March

Lesotho

D L W W D

4th place in Group H

0 - 2

26/03/2023 13:00

Zambia

L L L D D

1st place in Group H

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lesotho vs Zambia on 26 March 2023 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lesotho vs Zambia preview before placing your bet.

Lesotho are currently 4th with 1 points after 6 matches.
Zambia sit 1st with 13 points from 6 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Zambia, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. Lesotho have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 26/03/2023

Group H	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Zambia	13	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Ivory Coast	13	6	4	1	1	9	5	4
03 Comoros	7	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2
04 Lesotho	1	6	0	1	5	1	9	-8

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	7	3	2	1	0	5	1	4
02 Democratic Rep Congo	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Zambia	2	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1
04 Tanzania	2	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3

Head To Head

08/07/2021 10:00

Zambia

1 - 2

Lesotho

SACC

21/06/2016 15:59

Lesotho

2 - 3

Zambia

INT CF

08/06/2013 13:00

Zambia

4 - 0

Lesotho

WCPAF

24/03/2013 13:00

Lesotho

1 - 1

Zambia

WCPAF

Lesotho

25%

Draw

25%

Zambia

50%

Lesotho Last 6 matches

25/02/2023 13:00

Malawi 1 - 1 Lesotho INT FRL

10/07/2022 15:00

Eswatini 2 - 0 Lesotho SACC

08/07/2022 15:00

Lesotho 2 - 1 Mauritius SACC

06/07/2022 15:00

Lesotho 2 - 1 Malawi SACC

09/06/2022 17:00

Lesotho 0 - 0 Ivory Coast CAF NC

03/06/2022 13:00

Comoros 2 - 0 Lesotho CAF NC

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Zambia

17/11/2022 18:30

Israel 4 - 2 Zambia INT FRL

23/09/2022 19:00

Mali 1 - 0 Zambia INT FRL

30/07/2022 13:00

Zambia 0 - 1 Mozambique CAF SC

24/07/2022 13:00

Mozambique 0 - 0 Zambia CAF SC

17/07/2022 17:00

Namibia 0 - 0 Zambia SACC

15/07/2022 17:00

Zambia 4 - 3 Senegal SACC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Lesotho

Zambia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.37

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 68 matches

YesNo

21 (31%)47 (69%)

In last 68 matches

NoYes

50 (54%)43 (46%)

Lesotho

Recent matches

Zambia

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(29%)13 32(71%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lesotho

Zambia

Shots

Lesotho

Total shots

7.56 avg / game

Blocked

13 total

Avg. 1.63

Zambia

Total shots

9.17 avg / game

Blocked

28 total

Avg. 1.65

Lesotho Pass Zambia

Total passes

3661

Avg. 282 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

8525

Avg. 371 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lesotho

Played games

Zambia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.24

2.25

153

Corners

358

3.85

3.71

252

Throw-ins

355

3.82

0.72

Offsides

0.59

1.06

GK saves

0.90

Lesotho

DISCIPLINARY

Zambia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.56

106

141

1.52

0.07

0.05

4.22

287

Fouls

421

4.53

2.31

157

Tackles

235

2.53

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lesotho vs Zambia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lesotho vs Zambia on 26 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lesotho vs Zambia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lesotho's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Zambia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Lesotho and Zambia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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