Lesotho vs Gabon Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 15

Lesotho

D L L L L

3rd place in Group B

0-2

15/10/2024 09:00

Gabon

D W L W L

2nd place in Group B

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lesotho vs Gabon on October 15, 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lesotho vs Gabon preview before placing for you.

Lesotho are currently 3rd with 4 points after 6 matches.
Gabon sit 2nd with 10 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Gabon to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history favors Gabon, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings. Lesotho have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2024-10-15

Lesotho vs Gabon - Prediction & Odds

Lesotho

Gabon

2024-10-15 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 15/10/2024

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	18	6	6	0	0	26	2	24
02 Gabon	10	6	3	1	2	7	9	-2
03 Lesotho	4	6	1	1	4	2	13	-11
04 Central African Republic	3	6	1	0	5	3	14	-11

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ivory Coast	7	3	2	1	0	5	3	2
02 Cameroon	7	3	2	1	0	4	2	2
03 Mozambique	3	3	1	0	2	4	5	-1
04 Gabon	0	3	0	0	3	4	7	-3

Head To Head

11/10/2024 15:00

Gabon

0 - 0

Lesotho

CAF NC

19/11/2014 14:00

Gabon

4 - 2

Lesotho

CAF NC

10/09/2014 13:00

Lesotho

1 - 1

Gabon

CAF NC

07/09/2008 09:00

Lesotho

0 - 3

Gabon

WCPAF

28/06/2008 10:30

Gabon

2 - 0

Lesotho

WCPAF

Lesotho

Draw

40%

Gabon

60%

Lesotho Last 6 matches

11/10/2024 15:00

Gabon 0 - 0 Lesotho CAF NC

09/09/2024 15:00

Lesotho 0 - 1 Morocco CAF NC

05/09/2024 12:00

Central African Republic 3 - 1 Lesotho CAF NC

03/07/2024 09:00

Lesotho 1 - 3 Angola COSAFA Cup

01/07/2024 09:00

Namibia 2 - 1 Lesotho COSAFA Cup

28/06/2024 09:00

Lesotho 1 - 1 Seychelles COSAFA Cup

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Gabon

11/10/2024 15:00

Gabon 0 - 0 Lesotho CAF NC

10/09/2024 12:00

Gabon 2 - 0 Central African Republic CAF NC

06/09/2024 15:00

Morocco 4 - 1 Gabon CAF NC

11/06/2024 15:00

Gabon 3 - 2 Gambia WCPAF

07/06/2024 15:00

Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Gabon WCPAF

25/03/2024 15:30

Gabon 1 - 1 Congo INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Played games

Lesotho

Gabon

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored

Avg. per game

1.57

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 27 home matches

YesNo

13 (48%)14 (52%)

In last 27 home matches

NoYes

22 (79%)6 (21%)

Lesotho

Recent matches

Gabon

Under /Over

(52%)14 13(48%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)22 6(21%)

Under /Over

(15%)4 23(85%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)9 19(68%)

Under /Over

(33%)9 18(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)14 14(50%)

/Yes

(37%)10 17(63%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)14 14(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lesotho

Gabon

Shots

Lesotho

Total shots

9.38 avg / game

Blocked

8 total

Avg. 1.60

Gabon

Total shots

11.09 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 2.00

Lesotho Pass Gabon

Total passes

1864

Avg. 311 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

43%

Total passes

3336

Avg. 371 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lesotho

Played games

Gabon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.43

2.74

Corners

132

4.71

4.81

130

Throw-ins

127

4.54

1.11

Offsides

0.75

1.11

GK saves

0.79

Lesotho

DISCIPLINARY

Gabon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.22

1.32

0.04

0.00

5.70

154

Fouls

189

6.75

3.07

Tackles

119

4.25

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lesotho vs Gabon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lesotho vs Gabon on 15 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lesotho vs Gabon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lesotho's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gabon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Lesotho and Gabon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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