Lens vs Marseille: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 November

Lens
LWLWD
8th place in France Ligue 1
1
1-3
FT
23/11/2024 16:00
Marseille
LWWDW
2nd place in France Ligue 1
France Ligue 1
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lens vs Marseille on 23 November 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lens vs Marseille preview before placing your bet.

  • Lens are currently 8th with 52 points after 34 matches.
  • Marseille sit 2nd with 65 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Lens to win with probability 42%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Lens, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Marseille have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
16:00

2024-11-23

Lens vs Marseille - Prediction & Odds

Lens
Lens
Marseille
Marseille
2024-11-23 16:00
42
27
31
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
2.15
FT
1-3 0-0
-
weather
8℃～9℃
STANDINGS UP TO 23/11/2024
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
84 34 26 6 2 92 35 57
02 Marseille Marseille
65 34 20 5 9 74 47 27
03 Monaco Monaco
61 34 18 7 9 63 41 22
04 Nice Nice
60 34 17 9 8 66 41 25
05 Lille Lille
60 34 17 9 8 52 36 16
06 Lyon Lyon
57 34 17 6 11 65 46 19
07 Strasbourg Strasbourg
57 34 16 9 9 56 44 12
08 Lens Lens
52 34 15 7 12 42 39 3
09 Stade Brestois Stade Brestois
50 34 15 5 14 52 59 -7
10 Toulouse Toulouse
42 34 11 9 14 44 43 1
11 AJ Auxerre AJ Auxerre
42 34 11 9 14 48 51 -3
12 Rennes Rennes
41 34 13 2 19 51 50 1
13 Nantes Nantes
36 34 8 12 14 39 52 -13
14 Angers Angers
36 34 10 6 18 32 53 -21
15 Le Havre Le Havre
34 34 10 4 20 40 71 -31
16 Reims Reims
33 34 8 9 17 33 47 -14
17 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
30 34 8 6 20 39 77 -38
18 Montpellier Montpellier
16 34 4 4 26 23 79 -56
Head To Head
28/04/2024 19:00
Marseille Marseille
2 - 1
Lens Lens
FRA D1
12/11/2023 19:45
Lens Lens
1 - 0
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
06/05/2023 19:00
Lens Lens
2 - 1
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
22/10/2022 19:00
Marseille Marseille
0 - 1
Lens Lens
FRA D1
22/01/2022 20:00
Lens Lens
0 - 2
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
26/09/2021 18:45
Marseille Marseille
2 - 3
Lens Lens
FRA D1
Lens
4
67%
Draw
0
0%
Marseille
2
33%
Lens Lens Last 6 matches
09/11/2024 18:00
Lens 3 - 2 Nantes FRA D1
02/11/2024 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 0 Lens FRA D1
26/10/2024 19:00
Lens 0 - 2 Lille FRA D1
19/10/2024 17:00
Saint Etienne 0 - 2 Lens FRA D1
06/10/2024 15:00
Strasbourg 2 - 2 Lens FRA D1
28/09/2024 15:00
Lens 0 - 0 Nice FRA D1
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Marseille Marseille
08/11/2024 19:45
Marseille 1 - 3 AJ Auxerre FRA D1
03/11/2024 19:45
Nantes 1 - 2 Marseille FRA D1
27/10/2024 19:45
Marseille 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1
20/10/2024 18:45
Montpellier 0 - 5 Marseille FRA D1
04/10/2024 18:45
Marseille 1 - 1 Angers FRA D1
29/09/2024 18:45
Strasbourg 1 - 0 Marseille FRA D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Lens
Lens
17
 Marseille
Marseille
17
Goals
Scored
11
Avg. per game
0.65
Conceded
15
Avg. per game
0.88
Scored
26
Avg. per game
1.53
Conceded
12
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 17 home matches
YesNo
8 (47%)9 (53%)
In last 17 home matches
NoYes
14 (82%)3 (18%)
Lens

Lens

Recent matches

Marseille

Marseille

Under /Over

(65%)11 6(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(94%)16 1(6%)

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

/Yes

(24%)4 13(76%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(76%)13 4(24%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Lens Lens
Marseille Marseille
Shots
Lens
Lens
Total shots
16.88 avg / game
Blocked
43 total
Avg. 4.78
Marseille
Marseille
Total shots
15.65 avg / game
Blocked
37 total
Avg. 3.36
Lens Lens Pass Marseille Marseille
Total passes
8677
Avg. 510 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
56%
Total passes
11040
Avg. 649 / game
Accurate
89%
Ball possession
64%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Lens
Lens
1946
Avg. 114.47 / game
 Marseille
Marseille
1913
Avg. 112.53 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Lens
Lens
1093
Avg. 64.29 / game
 Marseille
Marseille
886
Avg. 52.12 / game
OTHERS
Lens
Lens
17
Played games
Marseille
Marseille
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.47
8
Clean sheets
2
0.12
6.65
113
Corners
91
5.35
18.35
312
Throw-ins
290
17.06
2.76
47
Offsides
30
1.76
2.53
43
GK saves
35
2.06
Lens
Lens
DISCIPLINARY
Marseille
Marseille
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.35
40
Yellow card
36
2.12
0.29
5
Red card
4
0.24
14.00
238
Fouls
214
12.59
18.35
312
Tackles
279
16.41
NEXT MATCHES
08/16
Lens Lens
VS
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA
08/23
Lens Lens
VS
AJ Auxerre AJ Auxerre
FRA
08/29
Strasbourg Strasbourg
VS
Lens Lens
FRA
09/05
Lens Lens
VS
Lorient Lorient
FRA
09/12
Le Mans Le Mans
VS
Lens Lens
FRA
NEXT MATCHES
08/23
Marseille Marseille
VS
Strasbourg Strasbourg
FRA
08/30
Monaco Monaco
VS
Marseille Marseille
FRA
09/05
Marseille Marseille
VS
Paris FC Paris FC
FRA
09/12
Rennes Rennes
VS
Marseille Marseille
FRA
09/20
Marseille Marseille
VS
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA

How We Build the Lens vs Marseille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lens vs Marseille on 23 November 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lens vs Marseille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lens's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marseille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Lens and Marseille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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