Lecce vs Bologna: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Lecce
DDWLW
17th place in Italian Serie A
2
2-2
FT
28/09/2025 12:00
Bologna
LLDWW
8th place in Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lecce vs Bologna on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lecce vs Bologna preview before placing your bet.

  • Lecce are currently 17th with 38 points after 38 matches.
  • Bologna sit 8th with 56 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Bologna to win with probability 45%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Bologna, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Lecce have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
12:00

2025-09-28

Lecce vs Bologna - Prediction & Odds

Lecce
Lecce
Bologna
Bologna
2025-09-28 12:00
25
30
45
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.00
2.00
FT
2-2 1-1
-
weather
22℃～13℃
STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Inter Milan Inter Milan
87 38 27 6 5 89 35 54
02 Napoli Napoli
76 38 23 7 8 58 36 22
03 AS Roma AS Roma
73 38 23 4 11 59 31 28
04 Como Como
71 38 20 11 7 65 29 36
05 AC Milan AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 53 35 18
06 Juventus Juventus
69 38 19 12 7 61 34 27
07 Atalanta Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 51 36 15
08 Bologna Bologna
56 38 16 8 14 49 46 3
09 Lazio Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 41 40 1
10 Udinese Udinese
50 38 14 8 16 45 48 -3
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo
49 38 14 7 17 46 50 -4
12 Torino Torino
45 38 12 9 17 44 63 -19
13 Parma Parma
45 38 11 12 15 28 46 -18
14 Cagliari Cagliari
43 38 11 10 17 40 53 -13
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 41 50 -9
16 Genoa Genoa
41 38 10 11 17 41 51 -10
17 Lecce Lecce
38 38 10 8 20 28 50 -22
18 Cremonese Cremonese
34 38 8 10 20 32 57 -25
19 Verona Verona
21 38 3 12 23 25 61 -36
20 Pisa Pisa
18 38 2 12 24 26 71 -45
Head To Head
09/02/2025 13:00
Lecce Lecce
0 - 0
Bologna Bologna
ITA D1
02/11/2024 10:00
Bologna Bologna
1 - 0
Lecce Lecce
ITA D1
11/02/2024 10:00
Bologna Bologna
4 - 0
Lecce Lecce
ITA D1
03/12/2023 07:30
Lecce Lecce
1 - 1
Bologna Bologna
ITA D1
04/06/2023 15:00
Lecce Lecce
2 - 3
Bologna Bologna
ITA D1
23/10/2022 09:00
Bologna Bologna
2 - 0
Lecce Lecce
ITA D1
Lecce
0
0%
Draw
2
33%
Bologna
4
67%
Lecce Lecce Last 6 matches
19/09/2025 14:45
Lecce 1 - 2 Cagliari ITA D1
14/09/2025 09:00
Atalanta 4 - 1 Lecce ITA D1
29/08/2025 14:45
Lecce 0 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1
23/08/2025 12:30
Genoa 0 - 0 Lecce ITA D1
15/08/2025 14:45
Lecce 2 - 0 Juve Stabia ITA Cup
09/08/2025 14:30
AC Monopoli 2 - 2 Lecce INT CF
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Bologna Bologna
20/09/2025 09:00
Bologna 2 - 1 Genoa ITA D1
14/09/2025 14:45
AC Milan 1 - 0 Bologna ITA D1
30/08/2025 12:30
Bologna 1 - 0 Como ITA D1
23/08/2025 14:45
AS Roma 1 - 0 Bologna ITA D1
16/08/2025 14:45
Bologna 2 - 4 OFI Crete INT CF
09/08/2025 11:00
VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Bologna INT CF
Win
50%
Draw
0%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Lecce
Lecce
266
 Bologna
Bologna
295
Goals
Scored
154
Avg. per game
0.58
Conceded
183
Avg. per game
0.69
Scored
245
Avg. per game
0.83
Conceded
199
Avg. per game
0.67
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 266 matches
YesNo
114 (43%)152 (57%)
In last 266 matches
NoYes
171 (58%)124 (42%)
Lecce

Lecce

Recent matches

Bologna

Bologna

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Lecce Lecce
Bologna Bologna
Shots
Lecce
Lecce
Total shots
12.28 avg / game
Blocked
600 total
Avg. 3.28
Bologna
Bologna
Total shots
12.72 avg / game
Blocked
842 total
Avg. 3.42
Lecce Lecce Pass Bologna Bologna
Total passes
69560
Avg. 355 / game
Accurate
76%
Ball possession
47%
Total passes
124392
Avg. 473 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
54%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Lecce
Lecce
25757
Avg. 96.83 / game
 Bologna
Bologna
29055
Avg. 98.49 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Lecce
Lecce
11754
Avg. 44.19 / game
 Bologna
Bologna
12423
Avg. 42.11 / game
OTHERS
Lecce
Lecce
266
Played games
Bologna
Bologna
295
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.26
69
Clean sheets
90
0.31
4.76
1267
Corners
1326
4.49
12.23
3254
Throw-ins
4984
16.89
1.62
430
Offsides
498
1.69
2.55
678
GK saves
790
2.68
Lecce
Lecce
DISCIPLINARY
Bologna
Bologna
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.94
517
Yellow card
563
1.91
0.09
23
Red card
27
0.09
12.40
3299
Fouls
3532
11.97
11.28
3000
Tackles
3685
12.49
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How We Build the Lecce vs Bologna Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lecce vs Bologna on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lecce vs Bologna Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lecce's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bologna's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Lecce and Bologna sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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