Le Mans vs Bastia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 August

Le Mans
WDWDD
2nd place in France Ligue 2
1
1-0
FT
22/08/2025 18:00
Bastia
DLWDW
17th place in France Ligue 2
France Ligue 2
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Le Mans vs Bastia on 22 August 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Le Mans vs Bastia preview before placing your bet.

  • Le Mans are currently 2nd with 62 points after 34 matches.
  • Bastia sit 17th with 28 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Le Mans to win with probability 38%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Bastia, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Le Mans have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
18:00

2025-08-22

Le Mans vs Bastia - Prediction & Odds

Le Mans
Le Mans
Bastia
Bastia
2025-08-22 18:00
38
28
34
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.31
FT
1-0 0-0
-
weather
17℃～18℃
STANDINGS UP TO 22/08/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Troyes Troyes
67 34 20 7 7 60 33 27
02 Le Mans Le Mans
62 34 16 14 4 50 31 19
03 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
60 34 18 6 10 59 38 21
04 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93
58 34 16 10 8 48 37 11
05 Rodez Aveyron Rodez Aveyron
58 34 15 13 6 45 39 6
06 Reims Reims
56 34 14 14 6 53 35 18
07 FC Annecy FC Annecy
52 34 15 7 12 49 39 10
08 Montpellier Montpellier
51 34 14 9 11 41 31 10
09 Pau FC Pau FC
45 34 12 9 13 48 62 -14
10 USL Dunkerque USL Dunkerque
43 34 11 10 13 53 45 8
11 Guingamp Guingamp
40 34 10 10 14 42 49 -7
12 Grenoble Grenoble
39 34 8 15 11 33 39 -6
13 Clermont Clermont
37 34 9 10 15 38 44 -6
14 Nancy Nancy
37 34 9 10 15 35 52 -17
15 Boulogne Boulogne
36 34 9 9 16 34 49 -15
16 Stade Lavallois MFC Stade Lavallois MFC
32 34 6 14 14 30 48 -18
17 Bastia Bastia
28 34 5 13 16 23 42 -19
18 Amiens Amiens
24 34 6 6 22 37 65 -28
Head To Head
08/02/2021 17:45
Bastia Bastia
1 - 0
Le Mans Le Mans
FRA D3
07/09/2020 19:00
Le Mans Le Mans
1 - 3
Bastia Bastia
FRA D3
17/11/2018 19:00
Bastia Bastia
2 - 1
Le Mans Le Mans
FRAC
04/05/2012 18:00
Le Mans Le Mans
3 - 0
Bastia Bastia
FRA D2
12/08/2011 18:00
Bastia Bastia
1 - 0
Le Mans Le Mans
FRA D2
20/03/2004 19:00
Bastia Bastia
0 - 0
Le Mans Le Mans
FRA D1
Le Mans
1
17%
Draw
1
17%
Bastia
4
67%
Le Mans Le Mans Last 6 matches
18/08/2025 18:45
Le Mans 1 - 2 Montpellier FRA D2
09/08/2025 12:00
Guingamp 3 - 3 Le Mans FRA D2
01/08/2025 16:30
Le Mans 2 - 0 Caen INT CF
26/07/2025 16:00
Le Mans 2 - 1 Fleury Merogis U.S. INT CF
23/07/2025 16:30
Le Mans 4 - 2 Quevilly INT CF
19/07/2025 16:00
Le Mans 1 - 0 Le Havre INT CF
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Bastia Bastia
15/08/2025 18:00
Bastia 1 - 1 Pau FC FRA D2
02/08/2025 18:00
Bastia 4 - 2 Amiens INT CF
26/07/2025 15:15
Montpellier 1 - 0 Bastia INT CF
19/07/2025 15:15
Bastia 3 - 1 Aubagne INT CF
15/07/2025 16:00
Bastia 3 - 2 AS Furiani Agliani INT CF
12/07/2025 16:00
Bastia 1 - 0 Bastia Borgo INT CF
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 2

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Le Mans
Le Mans
246
 Bastia
Bastia
264
Goals
Scored
182
Avg. per game
0.74
Conceded
152
Avg. per game
0.62
Scored
182
Avg. per game
0.69
Conceded
149
Avg. per game
0.56
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 246 matches
YesNo
129 (52%)117 (48%)
In last 246 matches
NoYes
124 (47%)140 (53%)
Le Mans

Le Mans

Recent matches

Bastia

Bastia

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Le Mans Le Mans
Bastia Bastia
Shots
Le Mans
Le Mans
Total shots
9.85 avg / game
Blocked
85 total
Avg. 2.66
Bastia
Bastia
Total shots
10.29 avg / game
Blocked
377 total
Avg. 2.60
Le Mans Le Mans Pass Bastia Bastia
Total passes
15837
Avg. 396 / game
Accurate
77%
Ball possession
52%
Total passes
71632
Avg. 387 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Le Mans
Le Mans
20699
Avg. 84.14 / game
 Bastia
Bastia
21334
Avg. 80.81 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Le Mans
Le Mans
11394
Avg. 46.32 / game
 Bastia
Bastia
11904
Avg. 45.09 / game
OTHERS
Le Mans
Le Mans
246
Played games
Bastia
Bastia
264
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.34
83
Clean sheets
91
0.34
3.92
964
Corners
1029
3.90
3.59
882
Throw-ins
2079
7.88
0.44
108
Offsides
357
1.35
0.31
77
GK saves
441
1.67
Le Mans
Le Mans
DISCIPLINARY
Bastia
Bastia
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.69
415
Yellow card
486
1.84
0.10
25
Red card
35
0.13
2.66
654
Fouls
2749
10.41
2.07
509
Tackles
2699
10.22
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Angers Angers
VS
Le Mans Le Mans
INT
08/23
Le Mans Le Mans
VS
Stade Brestois Stade Brestois
FRA
08/30
Rennes Rennes
VS
Le Mans Le Mans
FRA
09/05
Nice Nice
VS
Le Mans Le Mans
FRA
09/12
Le Mans Le Mans
VS
Lens Lens
FRA
NEXT MATCHES
08/07
Bastia Bastia
VS
Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
FRA
08/14
Aubagne Aubagne
VS
Bastia Bastia
FRA
08/20
Bastia Bastia
VS
Versailles 78 Versailles 78
FRA
08/29
Caen Caen
VS
Bastia Bastia
FRA
09/05
Bastia Bastia
VS
Amiens Amiens
FRA

How We Build the Le Mans vs Bastia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Le Mans vs Bastia on 22 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Le Mans vs Bastia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Le Mans's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bastia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 2 standings and the France Ligue 2 form table to understand exactly where Le Mans and Bastia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More France Ligue 2 Predictions

Find every upcoming France Ligue 2 fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less