Lazio vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 19 September

Lazio

L W L L W

2nd place in Group E

1-1

19/09/2023 15:00

Atletico Madrid

L W W D W

1st place in Group E

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lazio vs Atletico Madrid on 19 September 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lazio vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Lazio are currently 2nd with 10 points after 6 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 1st with 14 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 3 of the last 3 meetings. Lazio have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2023-09-19

Lazio vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Lazio

Atletico Madrid

2023-09-19 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 19/09/2023

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Madrid	14	6	4	2	0	17	6	11
02 Lazio	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
03 Feyenoord	6	6	2	0	4	9	10	-1
04 Celtic FC	4	6	1	1	4	5	15	-10

Head To Head

23/02/2012 16:05

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Lazio

UEFA EL

16/02/2012 14:00

Lazio

1 - 3

Atletico Madrid

UEFA EL

04/08/2007 13:00

Lazio

1 - 3

Atletico Madrid

AMST

Lazio

Draw

Atletico Madrid

100%

Lazio Last 6 matches

16/09/2023 09:00

Juventus 3 - 1 Lazio ITA D1

02/09/2023 14:45

Napoli 1 - 2 Lazio ITA D1

27/08/2023 14:45

Lazio 0 - 1 Genoa ITA D1

20/08/2023 14:45

Lecce 2 - 1 Lazio ITA D1

13/08/2023 15:00

Latina 0 - 9 Lazio INT CF

06/08/2023 14:00

Girona 2 - 1 Lazio INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

16/09/2023 10:15

Valencia 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

28/08/2023 15:30

Rayo Vallecano 0 - 7 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

24/08/2023 13:30

Numancia 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid INT CF

20/08/2023 15:30

Real Betis 0 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

14/08/2023 15:30

Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Granada CF SPA D1

05/08/2023 22:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Sevilla INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

255

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

174 (58%)126 (42%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

193 (64%)107 (36%)

Lazio

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lazio

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Lazio

Total shots

11.95 avg / game

Blocked

720 total

Avg. 2.99

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Lazio Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

136361

Avg. 515 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lazio

300

Played games

Atletico Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

109

Clean sheets

0.33

4.62

1385

Corners

1529

5.10

15.39

4616

Throw-ins

4975

16.58

1.43

428

Offsides

650

2.17

2.37

711

GK saves

762

2.54

Lazio

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.21

664

643

2.14

0.14

0.13

10.44

3133

Fouls

3334

11.11

12.02

3605

Tackles

4090

13.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lazio vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lazio vs Atletico Madrid on 19 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lazio vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lazio's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Lazio and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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