Las Palmas vs Malaga: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Las Palmas

D D W D W

2nd place in Spanish Segunda Division

2-2

11/03/2023 16:00

Malaga

W D L W L

19th place in Spanish Segunda Division

Spanish Segunda Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Las Palmas vs Malaga on 11 March 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Las Palmas vs Malaga preview before placing your bet.

Las Palmas are currently 2nd with 72 points after 42 matches.
Malaga sit 19th with 44 points from 42 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Las Palmas to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors Las Palmas, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Malaga have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2023-03-11

Las Palmas vs Malaga - Prediction & Odds

Las Palmas

Malaga

2023-03-11 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Granada CF	75	42	22	9	11	55	30	25
02 Las Palmas	72	42	18	18	6	49	29	20
03 Levante	72	42	18	18	6	46	30	16
04 Alaves	71	42	19	14	9	47	33	14
05 Eibar	71	42	19	14	9	45	36	9
06 Albacete	67	42	17	16	9	58	47	11
07 Andorra CF	59	42	16	11	15	47	37	10
08 Real Oviedo	59	42	16	11	15	34	35	-1
09 FC Cartagena	58	42	16	10	16	47	49	-2
10 Tenerife	57	42	14	15	13	42	37	5
11 Racing Santander	54	42	14	12	16	39	40	-1
12 Burgos CF	54	42	13	15	14	33	35	-2
13 Real Zaragoza	53	42	12	17	13	40	39	1
14 Leganes	53	42	14	11	17	37	42	-5
15 SD Huesca	52	42	11	19	12	36	36	0
16 Mirandes	52	42	13	13	16	48	54	-6
17 Sporting Gijon	50	42	11	17	14	43	48	-5
18 Villarreal B	50	42	13	11	18	49	55	-6
19 Malaga	44	42	10	14	18	37	44	-7
20 Ponferradina	44	42	9	17	16	40	53	-13
21 Ibiza Eivissa	34	42	7	13	22	33	66	-33
22 CD Lugo	31	42	6	13	23	27	57	-30

Head To Head

22/08/2022 16:00

Malaga

0 - 4

Las Palmas

SPA D2

29/04/2022 16:00

Las Palmas

2 - 1

Malaga

SPA D2

20/11/2021 13:15

Malaga

2 - 1

Las Palmas

SPA D2

17/04/2021 12:15

Las Palmas

1 - 1

Malaga

SPA D2

11/10/2020 10:00

Malaga

0 - 0

Las Palmas

SPA D2

28/02/2020 16:00

Las Palmas

1 - 1

Malaga

SPA D2

Las Palmas

33%

Draw

50%

Malaga

17%

Las Palmas Last 6 matches

03/03/2023 16:00

Andorra CF 0 - 0 Las Palmas SPA D2

26/02/2023 13:30

Las Palmas 2 - 0 Ponferradina SPA D2

18/02/2023 13:30

Leganes 0 - 0 Las Palmas SPA D2

11/02/2023 16:00

Las Palmas 3 - 0 CD Lugo SPA D2

07/02/2023 07:00

Las Palmas 1 - 3 Djurgardens INT CF

06/02/2023 16:00

Burgos CF 0 - 0 Las Palmas SPA D2

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Malaga

27/02/2023 16:00

Granada CF 1 - 0 Malaga SPA D2

20/02/2023 16:00

Malaga 3 - 0 Real Zaragoza SPA D2

12/02/2023 09:00

Albacete 3 - 2 Malaga SPA D2

03/02/2023 16:00

Malaga 0 - 1 Real Oviedo SPA D2

29/01/2023 13:30

Sporting Gijon 0 - 0 Malaga SPA D2

21/01/2023 11:15

Malaga 1 - 1 Burgos CF SPA D2

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish Segunda Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Las Palmas

Malaga

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 21 home matches

YesNo

11 (52%)10 (48%)

In last 21 home matches

NoYes

9 (43%)12 (57%)

Las Palmas

Recent matches

Malaga

Under /Over

(62%)13 8(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(57%)12 9(43%)

Under /Over

(14%)3 18(86%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(10%)2 19(90%)

Under /Over

(29%)6 15(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)6 15(71%)

/Yes

(38%)8 13(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)8 13(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Las Palmas

Malaga

Shots

Las Palmas

Total shots

16.00 avg / game

Blocked

19 total

Avg. 3.80

Malaga

Total shots

11.95 avg / game

Blocked

19 total

Avg. 3.17

Las Palmas Pass Malaga

Total passes

12219

Avg. 582 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

66%

Total passes

8685

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Las Palmas

Played games

Malaga

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.52

Clean sheets

0.43

6.38

134

Corners

4.43

19.24

404

Throw-ins

331

15.76

2.00

Offsides

2.38

2.10

GK saves

2.67

Las Palmas

DISCIPLINARY

Malaga

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.19

2.48

0.00

0.19

11.29

237

Fouls

274

13.05

9.57

201

Tackles

197

9.38

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Las Palmas vs Malaga Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Las Palmas vs Malaga on 11 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish Segunda Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Las Palmas vs Malaga Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Las Palmas's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malaga's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish Segunda Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish Segunda Division standings and the Spanish Segunda Division form table to understand exactly where Las Palmas and Malaga sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish Segunda Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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