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La Luz vs Cerro Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 November

La Luz
WLLLL
16th place in Autumn
1 - 2
FT
11/11/2023 18:30
Cerro Montevideo
DLLDD
14th place in Autumn
Uruguay Primera Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for La Luz vs Cerro Montevideo on 11 November 2023 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full La Luz vs Cerro Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

  • La Luz are currently 16th with 13 points after 15 matches.
  • Cerro Montevideo sit 14th with 15 points from 15 matches.
  • Head-to-head history favors Cerro Montevideo, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. La Luz have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 11/11/2023
Autumn PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
35 15 11 2 2 23 8 15
02 CA Penarol CA Penarol
25 15 6 7 2 19 13 6
03 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
25 15 7 4 4 16 13 3
04 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
24 15 6 6 3 20 17 3
05 Danubio FC Danubio FC
22 15 6 4 5 15 14 1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
21 15 6 3 6 19 13 6
07 Torque Torque
21 15 6 3 6 21 20 1
08 Boston River Boston River
20 15 6 2 7 17 16 1
09 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
19 15 4 7 4 13 15 -2
10 CA River Plate CA River Plate
19 15 5 4 6 9 14 -5
11 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
18 15 5 3 7 14 19 -5
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
17 15 4 5 6 14 17 -3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
16 15 3 7 5 11 15 -4
14 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 12 15 -3
15 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
15 15 4 3 8 13 21 -8
16 La Luz La Luz
13 15 3 4 8 13 19 -6
Torneo Intermedio Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
14 7 4 2 1 11 5 6
02 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
12 7 3 3 1 10 6 4
03 Danubio FC Danubio FC
11 7 3 2 2 6 4 2
04 CA Penarol CA Penarol
10 7 3 1 3 9 9 0
05 Boston River Boston River
9 7 3 0 4 8 7 1
06 CA River Plate CA River Plate
9 7 2 3 2 5 7 -2
07 Torque Torque
8 7 2 2 3 8 8 0
08 La Luz La Luz
4 7 1 1 5 6 17 -11
Torneo Intermedio Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
16 7 5 1 1 15 8 7
02 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
12 7 3 3 1 6 4 2
03 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
11 7 3 2 2 12 8 4
04 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
10 7 3 1 3 12 12 0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
9 7 2 3 2 7 5 2
06 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
8 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1
07 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
5 7 1 2 4 7 13 -6
08 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
4 7 0 4 3 9 17 -8
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CA Penarol CA Penarol
34 15 10 4 1 25 11 14
02 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
29 15 8 5 2 28 11 17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
25 15 6 7 2 27 14 13
04 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
25 15 6 7 2 13 10 3
05 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
23 15 6 5 4 24 19 5
06 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
23 15 6 5 4 16 12 4
07 CA River Plate CA River Plate
20 15 5 5 5 17 19 -2
08 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
20 15 5 5 5 18 23 -5
09 La Luz La Luz
19 15 5 4 6 23 27 -4
10 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
16 15 3 7 5 13 16 -3
11 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
16 15 4 4 7 15 25 -10
12 Danubio FC Danubio FC
15 15 3 6 6 20 19 1
13 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 13 17 -4
14 Torque Torque
14 15 3 5 7 15 24 -9
15 Boston River Boston River
12 15 2 6 7 15 23 -8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
12 15 3 3 9 11 23 -12
Head To Head
02/04/2023 09:00
Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
0 - 0
La Luz La Luz
URU D1
17/09/2022 11:30
La Luz La Luz
0 - 1
Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
URU D2
17/08/2022 11:30
Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
3 - 0
La Luz La Luz
URU D2
17/04/2022 09:00
Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
1 - 2
La Luz La Luz
URU D2
La Luz
1
25%
Draw
1
25%
Cerro Montevideo
2
50%
La Luz La Luz Last 6 matches
05/11/2023 13:30
Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 1 La Luz URU D1
29/10/2023 15:00
Rampla Juniors FC 2 - 2 La Luz U Cup
22/10/2023 18:00
La Luz 1 - 1 Plaza Colonia URU D1
18/10/2023 16:00
Cerro Largo 1 - 3 La Luz URU D1
14/10/2023 15:30
La Luz 0 - 2 Liverpool URU URU D1
06/10/2023 19:00
Torque 1 - 0 La Luz URU D1
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
07/11/2023 19:00
Ferro Carril 0 - 0 Cerro Montevideo U Cup
03/11/2023 18:00
Cerro Montevideo 0 - 1 Wanderers FC URU D1
22/10/2023 11:59
Centro Atletico Fenix 1 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1
19/10/2023 16:00
Cerro Montevideo 1 - 1 Danubio FC URU D1
15/10/2023 17:30
Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1
08/10/2023 17:00
Cerro Montevideo 1 - 0 CA River Plate URU D1
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
La Luz
La Luz
168
 Cerro Montevideo
Cerro Montevideo
221
Goals
Scored
91
Avg. per game
0.54
Conceded
124
Avg. per game
0.74
Scored
100
Avg. per game
0.45
Conceded
153
Avg. per game
0.69
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 168 matches
YesNo
66 (39%)102 (61%)
In last 168 matches
NoYes
85 (38%)136 (62%)
La Luz

La Luz

Recent matches

Cerro Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
La Luz La Luz
Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
Shots
La Luz
La Luz
Total shots
6.98 avg / game
Blocked
1 total
Avg. 1.00
Cerro Montevideo
Cerro Montevideo
Total shots
6.35 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
La Luz La Luz Pass Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
48%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
47%
TOTAL ATTACKS
La Luz
La Luz
14416
Avg. 85.81 / game
 Cerro Montevideo
Cerro Montevideo
19611
Avg. 88.74 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
La Luz
La Luz
9051
Avg. 53.88 / game
 Cerro Montevideo
Cerro Montevideo
12086
Avg. 54.69 / game
OTHERS
La Luz
La Luz
168
Played games
Cerro Montevideo
Cerro Montevideo
221
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.29
48
Clean sheets
73
0.33
4.04
678
Corners
855
3.87
1.45
244
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.11
18
Offsides
2
0.01
0.29
48
GK saves
240
1.09
La Luz
La Luz
DISCIPLINARY
Cerro Montevideo
Cerro Montevideo
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.89
485
Yellow card
575
2.60
0.23
39
Red card
35
0.16
0.82
137
Fouls
42
0.19
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the La Luz vs Cerro Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for La Luz vs Cerro Montevideo on 11 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

La Luz vs Cerro Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess La Luz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cerro Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where La Luz and Cerro Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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